Paulista - A4 · Mar 18, 2026 22:30
Penedense
PWR 51
PWR 51
1-0
predicted
Jabaquara
PWR 35
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Penedense to win (81% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
81%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (30%)1-0 (30%)2-0 (15%)0-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
12%
Under 2.5
88%
88%
BTTS
No
No 12%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
45Attack0
63Defense100
Goals/G
1.30.0
Conc/G
1.10.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Penedense
DLLDL
STABLE
Jabaquara
LDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Penedensevs
0.22
JabaquaraGoal Probability
Penedense
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Jabaquara
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (30%)1-0 (26%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (11%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Penedense+7
Gap#14
Jabaquara
WR 44% 29 pts
WR 20% 15 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penedense | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 29 |
| Jabaquara | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 25 | 15 |
Penedense
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Peneden… v Inter d… | 0-0 |
| Mar 04 | Peneden… v EC Leme… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Peneden… v ASA | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Peneden… v Vocem | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | Peneden… v Taquari… | 3-0 |
| Feb 25 | Peneden… v Londrina | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Peneden… v São Cae… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Peneden… v Figueir… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Peneden… v ECUS | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Peneden… v Tanabi | 1-2 |
Jabaquara
2.0%
| Mar 08 | Jabaqua… v ECUS | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Jabaqua… v Vocem | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Jabaqua… v Inter d… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Jabaqua… v Barretos | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Jabaqua… v Tanabi | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Jabaqua… v Colorad… | 0-0 |
| Feb 11 | Jabaqua… v Joseense | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Jabaqua… v São Cae… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Jabaqua… v Naciona… | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Jabaqua… v Taquari… | 2-1 |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
72%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Penedense struggling (3L in last 5)
Jabaquara struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.