Capixaba · Mar 01, 2026 19:00
Vitoria
PWR 54
Fortaleza
PWR 38
Vitoria
PWR 54
4 - 1
FT
Fortaleza
PWR 38
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Vitoria to win (81% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
81%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (46%)1-0 (23%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (6%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (2%)
WRONG 4-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
4%
Under 2.5
96%
96%
BTTS
No
No 9%
Over 3.5
32%
Team Comparison
53Attack22
65Defense71
Goals/G
1.50.6
Conc/G
1.00.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vitoria
DWWWL
STABLE
Fortaleza
WDWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Capixaba
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51
Vitoriavs
0.27
FortalezaGoal Probability
Vitoria
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Fortaleza
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Vitoria+5
Gap#9
Fortaleza
WR 43% 57 pts
WR 18% 12 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 56 | 37 | 57 |
| Fortaleza | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 12 |
Vitoria
14.0%
| Feb 23 | Vitoria v Fortale… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Vitoria v GalÃcia | 3-0 |
| Feb 18 | Vitoria v Bahia d… | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Vitoria v Serra T… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Vitoria v Flamengo | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Vitoria v Rio Bra… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Vitoria v Jequié | 2-2 |
| Feb 05 | Vitoria v Fortale… | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Vitoria v Palmeir… | 5-1 |
| Feb 01 | Vitoria v Capixab… | 2-0 |
Fortaleza
14.0%
| Feb 25 | Fortale… v Maguary… | 4-3 |
| Feb 23 | Fortale… v Vitoria | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Fortale… v Ferrovi… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Fortale… v Ferrovi… | 0-2 |
| Feb 12 | Fortale… v Desport… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Fortale… v Ceará | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Fortale… v Rio Bra… | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Fortale… v Vitoria | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Fortale… v Vilavel… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Fortale… v Iguatu | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Feb 23, 2026 | Fortaleza | 1-1 | Vitoria |
| Feb 05, 2026 | Fortaleza | 0-0 | Vitoria |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Fortaleza | 2-0 | Vitoria |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Vitoria | 2-1 | Fortaleza |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Vitoria | 2-0 | Fortaleza |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Vitoria in strong form (3W in last 5)
Fortaleza in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.