1st Division · Mar 07, 2026 13:00
Kastrioti Krujë
PWR 35
Besa Kavajë
PWR 35
Kastrioti Krujë
PWR 35
2 - 3
FT
Besa Kavajë
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Kastrioti Krujë Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (24%)2-0 (19%)0-0 (15%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)
WRONG 2-3
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kastrioti Krujë
DDLWL
STABLE
Besa Kavajë
WDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 2/8 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Kastrioti Krujëvs
0.30
Besa KavajëGoal Probability
Kastrioti K…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Besa Kavajë
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (10%)0-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Kastrioti K…+3
Gap#7
Besa Kavajë
WR 55% 30 pts
WR 18% 25 pts
Kastrioti Krujë
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Kastrio… v Korabi … | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Kastrio… v Apoloni… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Kastrio… v Luftëta… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Kastrio… v FK Kuke… | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | Kastrio… v Skender… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Kastrio… v Pograde… | 2-4 |
| Jan 17 | Kastrio… v Iliria … | 0-1 |
| Dec 20 | Kastrio… v Lushnja | 2-1 |
| Dec 13 | Kastrio… v Burreli | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | Kastrio… v Apoloni… | 1-0 |
Besa Kavajë
8.0%
| Mar 01 | Besa Ka… v Burreli | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Besa Ka… v Iliria … | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Besa Ka… v Laci | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Besa Ka… v Luftëta… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Besa Ka… v FK Kuke… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Besa Ka… v Skender… | 2-3 |
| Jan 17 | Besa Ka… v Pograde… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Besa Ka… v Dinamo … | 3-0 |
| Dec 21 | Besa Ka… v Iliria … | 3-1 |
| Dec 14 | Besa Ka… v Lushnja | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Nov 24, 2025 | Kastrioti Kru… | 2-1 | Besa Kavajë |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Besa Kavajë | 1-1 | Kastrioti Kru… |
| Mar 05, 2025 | Kastrioti Kru… | 2-3 | Besa Kavajë |
| Dec 08, 2024 | Kastrioti Kru… | 0-1 | Besa Kavajë |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Besa Kavajë | 3-0 | Kastrioti Kru… |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Besa Kavajë | 3-2 | Kastrioti Kru… |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Kastrioti Kru… | 3-1 | Besa Kavajë |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Besa Kavajë | 1-1 | Kastrioti Kru… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
65%
Market
30%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.