Back Stats
Challenge League · Mar 15, 2026 13:00

Mgarr United
PWR 35
4-2
predicted

Vittoriosa Stars
PWR 35
53% 23% 24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Mgarr United Win
Score
4-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-3 (4%)3-2 (4%)2-3 (3%)2-2 (3%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5 65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS Yes
Yes 94%
Over 3.5 69%
69%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mgarr United WWWDL
UP
Vittoriosa Sta… DWDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.31
Mgarr United
vs
3.08
Vittoriosa Sta…
Goal Probability
Mgarr United
0
1%
1
6%
2
13%
3
18%
4
19%
Vittoriosa …
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)4-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)3-0 (5%)2-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 99% 1% OVER
1.5 95% 5% OVER
2.5 85% 15% OVER
3.5 69% 31% OVER
4.5 51% 50% -
5.5 33% 67% UNDER
6.5 20% 81% UNDER
League Position
#1
Mgarr United
+4
Gap
#5
Vittoriosa …
WR 38% 31 pts WR 25% 17 pts
Mgarr United 14.0%
Mar 08 Mgarr U… v Zebbug … 0-2
Feb 28 Mgarr U… v Marsa 1-2
Feb 21 Mgarr U… v Marsa 5-0
Feb 14 Mgarr U… v Gudja U… 0-0
Feb 07 Mgarr U… v Fgura U… 2-4
Feb 01 Mgarr U… v Zurrieq 1-1
Jan 28 Mgarr U… v Mosta 0-3
Jan 18 Mgarr U… v Marsa 1-3
Jan 10 Mgarr U… v Swieqi … 5-1
Dec 21 Mgarr U… v Sirens 2-3
Vittoriosa Sta… 10.0%
Mar 08 Vittori… v Santa L… 1-1
Feb 28 Vittori… v Zurrieq 2-1
Feb 21 Vittori… v Marsa 2-2
Feb 14 Vittori… v Melita 0-1
Feb 08 Vittori… v Marsa 1-1
Feb 01 Vittori… v St. And… 3-3
Jan 17 Vittori… v Birzebb… 1-1
Jan 10 Vittori… v Balzan … 4-1
Dec 20 Vittori… v Zebbug … 0-4
Dec 13 Vittori… v Santa L… 0-2
Head-to-Head (1)
Sep 27, 2025 Vittoriosa St… 1-0 Mgarr United
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
60%
Market
50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mgarr United in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.