A Lyga · Mar 11, 2026 12:00

Hegelmann Litauen
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Ĺ iauliai
PWR 35
39% 26% 35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Hegelmann Litauen Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (10%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)1-0 (6%)1-1 (5%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X 82%
Home/Draw
1.28x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.58x
Over 2.5 65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes 50%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Hegelmann Lita… DDLLL
STABLE
Ĺ iauliai LDDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk38%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 67% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 100% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 167% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (38.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.16
Hegelmann Lita…
vs
0.74
Ĺ iauliai
Goal Probability
Hegelmann L…
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Ĺ iauliai
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 93% 7% OVER
1.5 75% 25% OVER
2.5 50% 50% -
3.5 28% 72% UNDER
4.5 13% 87% UNDER
5.5 5% 95% UNDER
6.5 2% 98% UNDER
League Position
#7
Hegelmann L…
+1
Gap
#8
Ĺ iauliai
WR 0% 3 pts WR 0% 3 pts
Hegelmann Lita… 4.0%
Mar 07 Hegelma… v Panevėž… 1-1
Feb 28 Hegelma… v Džiugas… 1-1
Feb 22 Hegelma… v Banga 0-2
Feb 08 Hegelma… v FK Zalg… 1-0
Feb 03 Hegelma… v BFC Dau… 1-0
Jan 24 Hegelma… v Džiugas… 2-0
Nov 08 Hegelma… v Sūduva … 2-1
Nov 02 Hegelma… v FK Zalg… 3-1
Oct 27 Hegelma… v Dainava 0-2
Oct 23 Hegelma… v Džiugas… 4-1
Ĺ iauliai 8.0%
Mar 07 Šiauliai v FK Zalg… 0-2
Mar 01 Šiauliai v Sūduva … 0-0
Feb 22 Šiauliai v TransIN… 2-2
Feb 07 Šiauliai v BFC Dau… 1-0
Jan 31 Šiauliai v FK Zalg… 4-2
Jan 27 Ĺ iauliai v Aucas 2-1
Jan 23 Ĺ iauliai v Banga 1-4
Nov 08 Šiauliai v Džiugas… 2-2
Nov 02 Šiauliai v Sūduva … 2-2
Oct 26 Šiauliai v FK Zalg… 1-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 14, 2025 Šiauliai 0-1 Hegelmann Lit…
Aug 07, 2025 Hegelmann Lit… 3-1 Šiauliai
Jul 05, 2025 Hegelmann Lit… 5-2 Šiauliai
May 02, 2025 Šiauliai 0-3 Hegelmann Lit…
Mar 15, 2025 Hegelmann Lit… 1-0 Šiauliai
Feb 08, 2025 Hegelmann Lit… 3-1 Šiauliai
Sep 01, 2024 Šiauliai 3-1 Hegelmann Lit…
Jun 26, 2024 Hegelmann Lit… 0-0 Šiauliai
May 01, 2024 Šiauliai 1-1 Hegelmann Lit…
Mar 13, 2024 Hegelmann Lit… 2-2 Šiauliai
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
52%
Market
63%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Hegelmann Litauen struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.