Paraense · Feb 22, 2026 20:00
Paysandu SC
PWR 35
Castanhal
PWR 35
Paysandu SC
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Castanhal
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Paysandu SC to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (18%)1-0 (17%)3-0 (12%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Paysandu SC
WWLDL
STABLE
Castanhal
WLDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Paysandu SCvs
0.41
CastanhalGoal Probability
Paysandu SC
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Castanhal
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (25%)2-0 (19%)0-0 (16%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Paysandu SC+4
Gap#7
Castanhal
WR 50% 10 pts
WR 33% 8 pts
Paysandu SC
10.0%
| Feb 19 | Paysand… v Tuna Lu… | 5-1 |
| Feb 15 | Paysand… v Santos | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Paysand… v Cametá | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Paysand… v Remo | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Paysand… v Tuna Lu… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Paysand… v Capitao… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Paysand… v São Rai… | 2-0 |
| Nov 14 | Paysand… v Amazonas | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | Paysand… v Corinth… | 1-2 |
| Oct 31 | Paysand… v Athleti… | 2-1 |
Castanhal
10.0%
| Feb 19 | Castanh… v Capitao… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Castanh… v Capitao… | 2-0 |
| Feb 12 | Castanh… v Remo | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | Castanh… v Tuna Lu… | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Castanh… v São Rai… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Castanh… v Santos | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Castanh… v Cametá | 0-0 |
| Apr 06 | Castanh… v Tuna Lu… | 2-1 |
| Apr 02 | Castanh… v Capitao… | 3-1 |
| Mar 30 | Castanh… v Tuna Lu… | 3-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Mar 02, 2025 | Paysandu SC | 2-0 | Castanhal |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
61%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.