Liga de Expansión MX · Mar 13, 2026 23:00
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
PWR 35
Tapatío
PWR 35
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Tapatío
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.62x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.62x
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
77%
77%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Alebrijes de O…
LWWWL
STABLE
Tapatío
LDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Liga de Expansión MX
Expected Goals (xG)
3.70
Alebrijes de O…vs
0.87
TapatíoGoal Probability
Alebrijes d…
0
3%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Tapatío
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (6%)2-3 (6%)3-2 (5%)1-2 (5%)3-3 (5%)1-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 5.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 6.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Alebrijes d…-2
Gap#11
Tapatío
WR 18% 13 pts
WR 18% 15 pts
Alebrijes de O…
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Alebrij… v Irapuato | 6-2 |
| Mar 07 | Alebrij… v Poza Ri… | 5-1 |
| Feb 27 | Alebrij… v Dorados | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Alebrij… v CDM | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Alebrij… v Atlante… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Alebrij… v Tlaxcala | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Alebrij… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Alebrij… v Venados… | 3-3 |
| Feb 07 | Alebrij… v Artesan… | 2-1 |
| Feb 03 | Alebrij… v Caja Ob… | 2-2 |
Tapatío
14.0%
| Mar 06 | Tapatío v Cancún | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Tapatío v Correca… | 2-2 |
| Feb 13 | Tapatío v CDS Tam… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Tapatío v Atlante… | 1-3 |
| Jan 30 | Tapatío v Leones … | 2-0 |
| Jan 24 | Tapatío v Tepatit… | 2-0 |
| Jan 16 | Tapatío v Venados… | 4-2 |
| Jan 10 | Tapatío v CA La P… | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | Tapatío v Dorados | 4-1 |
| Nov 01 | Tapatío v Irapuato | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 03, 2025 | Tapatío | 0-1 | Alebrijes de … |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Alebrijes de … | 1-3 | Tapatío |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Tapatío | 6-0 | Alebrijes de … |
| Mar 08, 2024 | Tapatío | 1-2 | Alebrijes de … |
| Aug 01, 2023 | Alebrijes de … | 1-1 | Tapatío |
| Mar 03, 2023 | Tapatío | 1-1 | Alebrijes de … |
| Aug 04, 2022 | Alebrijes de … | 4-0 | Tapatío |
| Mar 22, 2022 | Tapatío | 0-1 | Alebrijes de … |
| Sep 29, 2021 | Alebrijes de … | 0-1 | Tapatío |
| Jan 28, 2021 | Alebrijes de … | 2-1 | Tapatío |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
40%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Alebrijes de Oaxaca in strong form (3W in last 5)
Tapatío in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.