EFL Trophy · Mar 03, 2026 20:00
Doncaster
PWR 30
Doncaster
PWR 30
0 - 1
FT
Stockport
PWR 52
PWR 52
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 1.8/g, Away concedes 1.6/g, expected 3.3 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Doncaster to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.64x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.65x
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
34Attack66
52Defense46
Goals/G
1.11.9
Conc/G
1.61.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Doncaster
LWWDL
STABLE
Stockport
LLWLW
DOWN
Key Players
Doncaster
Luke Molyneux
1G1A
Owen Bailey
1G
Elliot Lee
Robbie Gotts
Harry Clifton
Stockport
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): EFL Trophy
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Doncastervs
1.06
StockportGoal Probability
Doncaster
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Stockport
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)0-2 (12%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-0 (8%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Doncaster+17
Gap#20
Stockport
WR 62% 26 pts
WR 44% 14 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doncaster | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 26 |
| Stockport | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 14 |
Doncaster
10.0%
| Feb 28 | Doncast… v Cardiff | 0-4 |
| Feb 21 | Doncast… v Rotherh… | 1-2 |
| Feb 17 | Doncast… v Hudders… | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Doncast… v Hudders… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Doncast… v Wycombe | 4-0 |
| Feb 03 | Doncast… v Brighto… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Doncast… v Brentfo… | 1-0 |
| Jan 27 | Doncast… v Leyton … | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Doncast… v Wigan | 3-3 |
| Jan 17 | Doncast… v AFC Wim… | 0-1 |
Stockport
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Stockpo… v Stevena… | 2-1 |
| Feb 24 | Stockpo… v Brighto… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Stockpo… v Wigan | 4-2 |
| Feb 17 | Stockpo… v Brentfo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Stockpo… v Port Va… | 0-4 |
| Feb 07 | Stockpo… v Leyton … | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Stockpo… v Plymouth | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | Stockpo… v Blackpo… | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | Stockpo… v Cardiff | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Stockpo… v Rotherh… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Dec 29, 2025 | Stockport | 4-2 | Doncaster |
| Dec 09, 2025 | Doncaster | 0-2 | Stockport |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Doncaster | 1-5 | Stockport |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Doncaster | 1-5 | Stockport |
| Oct 07, 2023 | Stockport | 1-0 | Doncaster |
| Mar 04, 2023 | Stockport | 0-0 | Doncaster |
| Aug 16, 2022 | Doncaster | 2-1 | Stockport |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
50%
Market
41%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Stockport struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.