Second NL · Mar 10, 2026 14:00
Bjelovar
PWR 35
NK Varaždin
PWR 39
Bjelovar
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
NK Varaždin
PWR 39
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)
WRONG 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.51x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.84x
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
0Attack41
100Defense42
Goals/G
0.01.2
Conc/G
0.01.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Bjelovar
WLDWD
STABLE
NK Varaždin
DLDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 44% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 69% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68
Bjelovarvs
0.82
NK VaraždinGoal Probability
Bjelovar
0
7%
1
18%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
NK Varaždin
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (14%)3-0 (13%)1-0 (10%)4-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Bjelovar+10
Gap#15
NK Varaždin
WR 36% 49 pts
WR 33% 20 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bjelovar | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 51 | 49 |
| NK Varaždin | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 30 | 20 |
Bjelovar
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Bjelovar v Dakovo-… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Bjelovar v Jadran … | 2-1 |
| Nov 29 | Bjelovar v Hrvatsk… | 1-1 |
| Nov 22 | Bjelovar v Solin | 0-2 |
| Nov 15 | Bjelovar v Mladost… | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Bjelovar v Uljanik | 1-0 |
| Oct 31 | Bjelovar v Trnje | 2-3 |
| Oct 25 | Bjelovar v Dugo Se… | 0-2 |
| Oct 18 | Bjelovar v Grobnič… | 2-2 |
| Oct 10 | Bjelovar v Kustosi… | 3-0 |
NK Varaždin
4.0%
| Mar 07 | NK Vara… v NK Loko… | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | NK Vara… v Kustosi… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | NK Vara… v HNK Haj… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | NK Vara… v Uskok K… | 1-3 |
| Feb 22 | NK Vara… v Dinamo … | 0-4 |
| Feb 14 | NK Vara… v HNK Rij… | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | NK Vara… v NK Osij… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | NK Vara… v Celtic | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | NK Vara… v Kustosi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | NK Vara… v NK Slav… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 23, 2025 | NK Varaždin | 4-0 | Bjelovar |
| Sep 08, 2020 | Bjelovar | 0-5 | NK Varaždin |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
50%
Market
48%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
NK Varaždin struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.