Matogrossense · Feb 22, 2026 21:00
Rioverdense
PWR 40
PWR 40
1 - 2
FT
Sport Sinop
PWR 35
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Rioverdense Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (48%)0-1 (21%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (6%)0-2 (5%)2-0 (2%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
4%
Under 2.5
96%
96%
BTTS
No
No 9%
Over 3.5
1%
Team Comparison
28Attack0
58Defense100
Goals/G
0.80.0
Conc/G
1.20.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Rioverdense
WWLWW
STABLE
Sport Sinop
LWWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateAway draws 60% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 85% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Rioverdensevs
0.44
Sport SinopGoal Probability
Rioverdense
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Sport Sinop
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (49%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (6%)2-0 (3%)0-2 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 1.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 4% | 97% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Rioverdense+3
Gap#7
Sport Sinop
WR 31% 61 pts
WR 27% 36 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rioverdense | 52 | 16 | 13 | 23 | 42 | 62 | 61 |
| Sport Sinop | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 47 | 36 |
Rioverdense
16.0%
| Feb 15 | Rioverd… v Sport S… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Rioverd… v União R… | 0-2 |
| Feb 04 | Rioverd… v CEOV Op… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Rioverd… v Chapada | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Rioverd… v Sport S… | 0-1 |
| Jan 25 | Rioverd… v Primave… | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Rioverd… v Mixto | 0-2 |
| Jan 18 | Rioverd… v Nova Mu… | 0-0 |
| Jan 14 | Rioverd… v Operári… | 0-2 |
| Jan 10 | Rioverd… v Cuiabá | 1-0 |
Sport Sinop
14.0%
| Feb 15 | Sport S… v Rioverd… | 0-1 |
| Feb 12 | Sport S… v Cuiabá | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Sport S… v Chapada | 2-0 |
| Feb 05 | Sport S… v Mixto | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Sport S… v Operári… | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Sport S… v Rioverd… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Sport S… v União R… | 0-0 |
| Jan 22 | Sport S… v Cuiabá | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Sport S… v CEOV Op… | 0-1 |
| Jan 14 | Sport S… v Primave… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Feb 15, 2026 | Sport Sinop | 0-1 | Rioverdense |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Sport Sinop | 0-1 | Rioverdense |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Sport Sinop | 1-2 | Rioverdense |
| Feb 04, 2023 | Sport Sinop | 0-1 | Rioverdense |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Rioverdense | 2-0 | Sport Sinop |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Rioverdense in strong form (4W in last 5)
Sport Sinop in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.