Pernambucano - 1 · Feb 22, 2026 21:00

Nautico Recife
PWR 35

Santa Cruz RN
PWR 43

Nautico Recife
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Santa Cruz RN
PWR 43
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Nautico Recife Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (12%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (5%)1-0 (4%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (2%)
CORRECT 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
No
No 34%
Over 3.5
45%
Team Comparison
0Attack38
100Defense61
Goals/G
0.01.1
Conc/G
0.01.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Nautico Recife
WWLWW
STABLE
Santa Cruz RN
WLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/8 draws (38%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.11
Nautico Recifevs
0.42
Santa Cruz RNGoal Probability
Nautico Rec…
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Santa Cruz …
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 4.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Nautico Rec…+2
Gap#4
Santa Cruz …
WR 47% 60 pts
WR 27% 39 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nautico Recife | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 33 | 60 |
| Santa Cruz RN | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 37 | 39 |
Nautico Recife
16.0%
| Feb 11 | Nautico… v Santa C… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Nautico… v Acadêmi… | 2-3 |
| Jan 28 | Nautico… v Retrô F… | 0-1 |
| Jan 25 | Nautico… v Santa C… | 0-4 |
| Jan 22 | Nautico… v Jaguaré | 0-4 |
| Jan 18 | Nautico… v Sport R… | 4-0 |
| Jan 14 | Nautico… v Decisão | 1-2 |
| Jan 09 | Nautico… v Maguary… | 2-0 |
| Oct 11 | Nautico… v Brusque | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | Nautico… v GuaranÃ… | 1-1 |
Santa Cruz RN
8.0%
| Feb 12 | Santa C… v São Fra… | 5-0 |
| Feb 11 | Santa C… v Nautico… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Santa C… v Decisão | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Santa C… v América… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Santa C… v Galvez | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Santa C… v Decisão | 1-2 |
| Feb 04 | Santa C… v Laguna | 3-3 |
| Feb 01 | Santa C… v Globo | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Santa C… v Vasco D… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Santa C… v Sport R… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Feb 11, 2026 | Santa Cruz RN | 0-1 | Nautico Recife |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Santa Cruz RN | 0-4 | Nautico Recife |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Santa Cruz RN | 0-4 | Nautico Recife |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Nautico Recife | 2-1 | Santa Cruz RN |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Santa Cruz RN | 1-2 | Nautico Recife |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Santa Cruz RN | 3-3 | Nautico Recife |
| Apr 02, 2022 | Nautico Recife | 0-0 | Santa Cruz RN |
| Mar 17, 2022 | Santa Cruz RN | 1-1 | Nautico Recife |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Nautico Recife in strong form (4W in last 5)
Santa Cruz RN struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.