FA Trophy · Mar 04, 2026 18:00
Valletta FC
PWR 64
Hamrun Spartans
PWR 63
Valletta FC
PWR 64
3 - 1
FT
Hamrun Spartans
PWR 63
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (28%)0-0 (20%)2-0 (20%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (4%)
WRONG 3-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.88x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.47x
Over 2.5
21%
Under 2.5
79%
79%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
82Attack70
53Defense60
Goals/G
2.32.0
Conc/G
1.31.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Valletta FC
DLDWL
STABLE
Hamrun Spartans
DWWDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FA Trophy
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Valletta FCvs
0.20
Hamrun SpartansGoal Probability
Valletta FC
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Hamrun Spar…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Valletta FC+1
Gap#6
Hamrun Spar…
WR 56% 15 pts
WR 57% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valletta FC | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | 15 |
| Hamrun Sparta… | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 13 |
Valletta FC
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Vallett… v Hiberni… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Vallett… v Sliema … | 0-1 |
| Feb 17 | Vallett… v Zabbar … | 0-0 |
| Feb 13 | Vallett… v Gżira U… | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Vallett… v Birkirk… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Vallett… v Floriana | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Vallett… v Naxxar … | 4-2 |
| Jan 28 | Vallett… v Tarxien… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Vallett… v Hamrun … | 0-0 |
| Jan 16 | Vallett… v Mosta | 0-5 |
Hamrun Spartans
12.0%
| Mar 01 | Hamrun … v Floriana | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Hamrun … v Marsaxl… | 2-0 |
| Feb 18 | Hamrun … v Hiberni… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Hamrun … v Zabbar … | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Hamrun … v Hiberni… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Hamrun … v Naxxar … | 4-0 |
| Feb 03 | Hamrun … v Gżira U… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Hamrun … v Sliema … | 2-0 |
| Jan 27 | Hamrun … v Fgura U… | 5-0 |
| Jan 24 | Hamrun … v Vallett… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 24, 2026 | Hamrun Sparta… | 0-0 | Valletta FC |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Hamrun Sparta… | 1-0 | Valletta FC |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Hamrun Sparta… | 1-1 | Valletta FC |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Hamrun Sparta… | 1-1 | Valletta FC |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Valletta FC | 1-2 | Hamrun Sparta… |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Valletta FC | 1-2 | Hamrun Sparta… |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Hamrun Sparta… | 1-0 | Valletta FC |
| Oct 08, 2022 | Valletta FC | 0-1 | Hamrun Sparta… |
| Dec 13, 2021 | Valletta FC | 0-1 | Hamrun Sparta… |
| Aug 13, 2021 | Hamrun Sparta… | 1-2 | Valletta FC |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.