Ligue 1 · Mar 08, 2026 12:00
Stade Tunisien
PWR 35
Étoile du Sahel
PWR 35
Stade Tunisien
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Étoile du Sahel
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Stade Tunisien Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (4%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.42x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.75x
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Stade Tunisien
WLLLW
STABLE
Étoile du Sahel
WWWDD
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 40% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.35
Stade Tunisienvs
0.52
Étoile du SahelGoal Probability
Stade Tunis…
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Étoile du S…
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (31%)1-0 (25%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Stade Tunis…+2
Gap#6
Étoile du S…
WR 73% 41 pts
WR 30% 33 pts
Stade Tunisien
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Stade T… v AS Marsa | 0-4 |
| Feb 27 | Stade T… v EO Sidi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Stade T… v Floriana | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Stade T… v ES Tunis | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Stade T… v Jendoub… | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Stade T… v Olympiq… | 3-2 |
| Feb 01 | Stade T… v ES Metl… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Stade T… v Ksour E… | 2-3 |
| Jan 28 | Stade T… v AS Soli… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Stade T… v Redeyef | 1-1 |
Étoile du Sahel
16.0%
| Feb 28 | Étoile … v AS Soli… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Étoile … v JS Kair… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Étoile … v US Mona… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Étoile … v AS Gabes | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Étoile … v US Ben … | 0-0 |
| Jan 22 | Étoile … v Club Af… | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Étoile … v Jeuness… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Étoile … v CS Sfax… | 0-1 |
| Nov 08 | Étoile … v Club At… | 1-1 |
| Nov 05 | Étoile … v ES Zarz… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 01, 2025 | Étoile du Sah… | 1-1 | Stade Tunisien |
| May 18, 2025 | Étoile du Sah… | 0-1 | Stade Tunisien |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Stade Tunisien | 1-3 | Étoile du Sah… |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Étoile du Sah… | 0-1 | Stade Tunisien |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Étoile du Sah… | 2-4 | Stade Tunisien |
| May 25, 2024 | Étoile du Sah… | 0-0 | Stade Tunisien |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Stade Tunisien | 1-1 | Étoile du Sah… |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Étoile du Sah… | 0-0 | Stade Tunisien |
| Oct 07, 2023 | Stade Tunisien | 0-1 | Étoile du Sah… |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Stade Tunisien | 1-1 | Étoile du Sah… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
66%
Market
45%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Étoile du Sahel in strong form (3W in last 5)
Stade Tunisien struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.