Supercopa · Jan 22, 2025 22:30
Libertad Asunción
PWR 77
Olimpia
PWR 23
Libertad Asunción
PWR 77
2 - 1
FT
Olimpia
PWR 23
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 2.0/g, expected 3.0 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Libertad Asunción Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (48%)0-1 (21%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (6%)0-2 (4%)2-0 (2%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
4%
Under 2.5
96%
96%
BTTS
No
No 9%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
70Attack35
65Defense30
Goals/G
2.01.0
Conc/G
1.02.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Libertad Asunc…
WLWDL
STABLE
Olimpia
WDDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Libertad Asunc…vs
0.43
OlimpiaGoal Probability
Libertad As…
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Olimpia
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (18%)1-0 (16%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 2.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Libertad As…+2
Gap#3
Olimpia
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad Asun… | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Olimpia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Libertad Asunc…
10.0%
| Nov 28 | Liberta… v Cerro P… | 2-3 |
| Nov 17 | Liberta… v General… | 3-1 |
| Nov 13 | Liberta… v Sportiv… | 2-0 |
| Nov 09 | Liberta… v Sportiv… | 0-0 |
| Nov 03 | Liberta… v 2 de Ma… | 2-0 |
| Oct 25 | Liberta… v Sportiv… | 1-2 |
| Oct 20 | Liberta… v Olimpia | 0-1 |
| Oct 06 | Liberta… v Club Gu… | 0-2 |
| Sep 14 | Liberta… v Cerro P… | 2-1 |
| Aug 31 | Liberta… v General… | 0-1 |
Olimpia
8.0%
| Nov 28 | Olimpia v Sportiv… | 0-1 |
| Nov 24 | Olimpia v Naciona… | 1-1 |
| Nov 17 | Olimpia v 2 de Ma… | 0-0 |
| Nov 03 | Olimpia v Sportiv… | 1-0 |
| Oct 30 | Olimpia v Naciona… | 0-2 |
| Oct 27 | Olimpia v Cerro P… | 3-0 |
| Oct 20 | Olimpia v Liberta… | 0-1 |
| Oct 05 | Olimpia v Sportiv… | 1-2 |
| Sep 22 | Olimpia v Club Gu… | 0-0 |
| Sep 15 | Olimpia v Sportiv… | 4-3 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 20, 2024 | Libertad Asun… | 0-1 | Olimpia |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Olimpia | 4-0 | Libertad Asun… |
| Jun 05, 2024 | Olimpia | 1-3 | Libertad Asun… |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Libertad Asun… | 0-0 | Olimpia |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Olimpia | 1-3 | Libertad Asun… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.