Sergipano · Mar 01, 2026 20:00
Sergipe
PWR 35
América Mineiro
PWR 42
Sergipe
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
América Mineiro
PWR 42
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sergipe Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (23%)0-0 (22%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (6%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
81%
Home/Draw
1.3x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.26x
Over 2.5
19%
Under 2.5
81%
81%
BTTS
No
No 24%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
0Attack34
100Defense62
Goals/G
0.01.0
Conc/G
0.01.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sergipe
DLWWW
STABLE
América Mineiro
DWDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/5 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (33.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Sergipevs
0.45
América MineiroGoal Probability
Sergipe
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
América Min…
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (25%)0-0 (23%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (10%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Sergipe+3
Gap#5
América Min…
WR 49% 86 pts
WR 28% 44 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergipe | 49 | 24 | 14 | 11 | 65 | 40 | 86 |
| América Minei… | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 35 | 39 | 44 |
Sergipe
14.0%
| Feb 26 | Sergipe v América… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Sergipe v Lagarto | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Sergipe v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Sergipe v Dorense | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | Sergipe v Desport… | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Sergipe v Confian… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Sergipe v Falcon | 0-2 |
| Jan 21 | Sergipe v AO Itab… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Sergipe v GuaranĂ… | 1-1 |
| Jan 11 | Sergipe v América… | 2-2 |
América Mineiro
14.0%
| Feb 26 | América… v Sergipe | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | América… v Lagarto | 0-3 |
| Feb 22 | América… v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | América… v Confian… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | América… v North E… | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | América… v AO Itab… | 0-3 |
| Feb 08 | América… v Cruzeiro | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | América… v Falcon | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | América… v Lagarto | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | América… v Uniao T… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Feb 26, 2026 | América Minei… | 1-1 | Sergipe |
| Jan 11, 2026 | América Minei… | 2-2 | Sergipe |
| Mar 01, 2025 | Sergipe | 0-1 | América Minei… |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Sergipe | 1-1 | América Minei… |
| Jan 30, 2023 | Sergipe | 2-0 | América Minei… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
50%
Market
58%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sergipe in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.