Emir Cup · Feb 27, 2026 18:30
Al-Qadsia SC
PWR 76
Burgan
PWR 11
Al-Qadsia SC
PWR 76
2 - 0
FT
Burgan
PWR 11
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 2.8/g, expected 3.1 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Al-Qadsia SC Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
77%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (10%)3-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (2%)
CORRECT 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
No
No 32%
Over 3.5
55%
55%
Team Comparison
70Attack26
75Defense4
Goals/G
2.00.8
Conc/G
0.72.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al-Qadsia SC
LWWDD
STABLE
Burgan
DDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.04
Al-Qadsia SCvs
0.39
BurganGoal Probability
Al-Qadsia SC
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Burgan
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)3-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)4-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 4.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Al-Qadsia SC+10
Gap#13
Burgan
WR 86% 18 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Qadsia SC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 18 |
| Burgan | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
Al-Qadsia SC
12.0%
| Feb 23 | Al-Qads… v Kazma | 4-2 |
| Feb 18 | Al-Qads… v Al Ain | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Al-Qads… v Zakho | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | Al-Qads… v Al Kuwa… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Al-Qads… v Al Kuwa… | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Al-Qads… v Al Ain | 3-1 |
| Jan 23 | Al-Qads… v Al Faha… | 0-2 |
| Jan 15 | Al-Qads… v Al Shab… | 4-1 |
| Jan 11 | Al-Qads… v Al Ain | 2-0 |
| Jan 07 | Al-Qads… v Al Shab… | 0-2 |
Burgan
4.0%
| Feb 21 | Burgan v Shamiya | 2-2 |
| Feb 04 | Burgan v Khaitan | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | Burgan v Yarmouk | 0-1 |
| Jan 16 | Burgan v Al Sula… | 3-1 |
| Jan 10 | Burgan v Al Kuwa… | 3-0 |
| Dec 31 | Burgan v Al Faha… | 2-1 |
| Dec 22 | Burgan v Al Ain | 3-3 |
| Nov 03 | Burgan v Sporty | 1-2 |
| Oct 26 | Burgan v Shamiya | 4-2 |
| Oct 20 | Burgan v Khaitan | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| May 21, 2025 | Al-Qadsia SC | 3-2 | Burgan |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Burgan | 0-2 | Al-Qadsia SC |
| Oct 20, 2020 | Burgan | 0-3 | Al-Qadsia SC |
Decision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Burgan struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.