Premier League · Mar 09, 2026 13:30
Lokomotiv Moscow
PWR 35
Akhmat Grozny
PWR 35
Lokomotiv Moscow
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
Akhmat Grozny
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lokomotiv Moscow Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (15%)3-0 (15%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (6%)3-1 (6%)1-1 (4%)
WRONG 2-2
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.35x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.21x
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No
No 32%
Over 3.5
40%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lokomotiv Mosc…
WWWWD
UP
Akhmat Grozny
WDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 40% at home = very high riskAway draws 40% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 80% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.90
Lokomotiv Mosc…vs
0.42
Akhmat GroznyGoal Probability
Lokomotiv M…
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Akhmat Groz…
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 40% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Lokomotiv M…+5
Gap#8
Akhmat Groz…
WR 60% 41 pts
WR 10% 26 pts
Lokomotiv Mosc…
18.0%
| Mar 05 | Lokomot… v Arsenal… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Lokomot… v Nizhny … | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Lokomot… v Yelimay… | 2-0 |
| Feb 05 | Lokomot… v Ural | 2-3 |
| Jan 24 | Lokomot… v FC Porto | 1-1 |
| Dec 07 | Lokomot… v PFC Soc… | 2-4 |
| Nov 30 | Lokomot… v FC Rost… | 1-3 |
| Nov 26 | Lokomot… v Spartak… | 2-3 |
| Nov 23 | Lokomot… v Krasnod… | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Lokomot… v Orenburg | 1-0 |
Akhmat Grozny
18.0%
| Mar 01 | Akhmat … v CSKA Mo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Akhmat … v Baltika | 2-2 |
| Feb 11 | Akhmat … v Bars | 2-0 |
| Jan 29 | Akhmat … v Vardar … | 1-0 |
| Dec 05 | Akhmat … v Orenburg | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Akhmat … v Dinamo … | 2-1 |
| Nov 22 | Akhmat … v Rubin | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Akhmat … v Spartak… | 1-2 |
| Nov 02 | Akhmat … v Baltika | 2-0 |
| Oct 27 | Akhmat … v PFC Soc… | 2-4 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 13, 2025 | Akhmat Grozny | 1-1 | Lokomotiv Mos… |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Lokomotiv Mos… | 2-1 | Akhmat Grozny |
| Mar 07, 2025 | Lokomotiv Mos… | 1-1 | Akhmat Grozny |
| Aug 04, 2024 | Akhmat Grozny | 0-5 | Lokomotiv Mos… |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Akhmat Grozny | 0-2 | Lokomotiv Mos… |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Lokomotiv Mos… | 2-1 | Akhmat Grozny |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Akhmat Grozny | 0-1 | Lokomotiv Mos… |
| Sep 04, 2022 | Lokomotiv Mos… | 1-2 | Akhmat Grozny |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Akhmat Grozny | 2-3 | Lokomotiv Mos… |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Lokomotiv Mos… | 1-2 | Akhmat Grozny |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
70%
Market
57%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lokomotiv Moscow in strong form (4W in last 5)
Akhmat Grozny in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.