First League · Mar 09, 2026 14:00
Arsenal Tula
PWR 35
Volga Ulyanovsk
PWR 35
Arsenal Tula
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Volga Ulyanovsk
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Arsenal Tula Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.37x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.0x
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Arsenal Tula
LDDDD
STABLE
Volga Ulyanovsk
DDLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 58% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesCombined DR 83% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (35.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Arsenal Tulavs
0.76
Volga UlyanovskGoal Probability
Arsenal Tula
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Volga Ulyan…
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)0-0 (19%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 2.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Arsenal Tula+3
Gap#14
Volga Ulyan…
WR 17% 29 pts
WR 25% 26 pts
Arsenal Tula
8.0%
| Mar 05 | Arsenal… v Lokomot… | 1-2 |
| Feb 27 | Arsenal… v KAMAZ | 1-1 |
| Nov 30 | Arsenal… v FK Neft… | 0-0 |
| Nov 25 | Arsenal… v Rubin | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Arsenal… v Chernom… | 1-1 |
| Nov 16 | Arsenal… v FC UFA | 1-2 |
| Nov 08 | Arsenal… v Chayka | 1-0 |
| Nov 03 | Arsenal… v Rotor V… | 1-2 |
| Oct 30 | Arsenal… v Fakel V… | 2-3 |
| Oct 24 | Arsenal… v Ural | 1-2 |
Volga Ulyanovsk
10.0%
| Mar 01 | Volga U… v Enisey | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | Volga U… v KAMAZ | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Volga U… v Torpedo… | 1-2 |
| Nov 29 | Volga U… v Ural | 0-0 |
| Nov 21 | Volga U… v Torpedo… | 2-0 |
| Nov 15 | Volga U… v Chernom… | 2-1 |
| Nov 08 | Volga U… v KAMAZ | 2-3 |
| Nov 02 | Volga U… v Rodina … | 1-2 |
| Oct 25 | Volga U… v FK Soko… | 1-0 |
| Oct 20 | Volga U… v FC UFA | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 30, 2025 | Volga Ulyanov… | 2-1 | Arsenal Tula |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Volga Ulyanov… | 0-0 | Arsenal Tula |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Arsenal Tula | 2-0 | Volga Ulyanov… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
52%
Market
53%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.