Catarinense - 1 · Mar 08, 2026 21:00
Chapecoense
PWR 35
Chapecoense
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Barra
PWR 35
PWR 35
27%
29%
44%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Chapecoense to win (56% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
56%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)0-0 (15%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Chapecoense
LLLDD
DOWN
Barra
WWDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Catarinense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Chapecoensevs
0.54
BarraGoal Probability
Chapecoense
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Barra
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)0-2 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Chapecoense+2
Gap#4
Barra
WR 67% 11 pts
WR 33% 9 pts
Chapecoense
4.0%
| Mar 01 | Chapeco… v Barra | 3-1 |
| Feb 22 | Chapeco… v Brusque | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Chapeco… v Brusque | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Chapeco… v Corinth… | 3-3 |
| Feb 08 | Chapeco… v Criciúma | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Chapeco… v Vasco D… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Chapeco… v Criciúma | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Chapeco… v Santos | 4-2 |
| Jan 25 | Chapeco… v Joinvil… | 6-0 |
| Jan 22 | Chapeco… v Avaà | 1-1 |
Barra
16.0%
| Mar 01 | Barra v Chapeco… | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Barra v Camboriú | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Barra v Camboriú | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Barra v Santa C… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Barra v Santa C… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Barra v Concórd… | 5-1 |
| Jan 22 | Barra v MarcÃli… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Barra v Brusque | 0-1 |
| Jan 14 | Barra v Camboriú | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Barra v Joinvil… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Mar 01, 2026 | Barra | 3-1 | Chapecoense |
| Feb 05, 2025 | Barra | 1-1 | Chapecoense |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Chapecoense | 2-2 | Barra |
| Sep 06, 2023 | Chapecoense | 4-1 | Barra |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Chapecoense | 1-2 | Barra |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Barra | 2-0 | Chapecoense |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Barra | 0-0 | Chapecoense |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Chapecoense | 1-0 | Barra |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
72%
Standings
63%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Barra in strong form (3W in last 5)
Chapecoense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.