Cearense - 1 · Mar 08, 2026 21:00
Ceará
PWR 35
Fortaleza
PWR 35
Ceará
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Fortaleza
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ceará Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (21%)3-0 (15%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
37%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ceará
DWWWD
STABLE
Fortaleza
DLWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 6/10 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Cearávs
0.20
FortalezaGoal Probability
Ceará
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Fortaleza
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (14%)3-0 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)4-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Ceará0
Gap#1
Fortaleza
WR 50% 7 pts
WR 0% 5 pts
Ceará
16.0%
| Mar 01 | Ceará v Fortale… | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Ceará v Primave… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Ceará v Floresta | 4-0 |
| Feb 15 | Ceará v Floresta | 0-3 |
| Feb 08 | Ceará v Fortale… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Ceará v Horizon… | 4-0 |
| Jan 25 | Ceará v Ferrovi… | 1-5 |
| Jan 22 | Ceará v Pague M… | 1-4 |
| Jan 17 | Ceará v Iguatu | 1-1 |
| Jan 15 | Ceará v Maguary… | 1-0 |
Fortaleza
12.0%
| Mar 01 | Fortale… v Ceará | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Fortale… v Vitoria | 4-1 |
| Feb 25 | Fortale… v Maguary… | 4-3 |
| Feb 23 | Fortale… v Vitoria | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Fortale… v Ferrovi… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Fortale… v Ferrovi… | 0-2 |
| Feb 12 | Fortale… v Desport… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Fortale… v Ceará | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Fortale… v Rio Bra… | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Fortale… v Vitoria | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 01, 2026 | Fortaleza | 1-1 | Ceará |
| Feb 08, 2026 | Ceará | 0-0 | Fortaleza |
| Nov 06, 2025 | Ceará | 1-1 | Fortaleza |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Fortaleza | 0-1 | Ceará |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Ceará | 1-1 | Fortaleza |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Fortaleza | 0-1 | Ceará |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Fortaleza | 1-2 | Ceará |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Ceará | 1-1 | Fortaleza |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0-0 | Ceará |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0-1 | Ceará |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
65%
Market
50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ceará in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.