Cearense - 1 · Mar 01, 2026 21:00
Fortaleza
PWR 35
Ceará
PWR 35
Fortaleza
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Ceará
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ceará Win
Score
1-6
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-2 (13%)0-1 (11%)0-3 (10%)1-2 (9%)1-1 (7%)1-3 (7%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.53x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.66x
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No 46%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fortaleza
WDWWL
STABLE
Ceará
WWWDW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 6/10 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Fortalezavs
2.44
CearáGoal Probability
Fortaleza
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Ceará
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (13%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-3 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Fortaleza0
Gap#1
Ceará
WR 50% 5 pts
WR 100% 7 pts
Fortaleza
14.0%
| Feb 25 | Fortale… v Maguary… | 4-3 |
| Feb 23 | Fortale… v Vitoria | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Fortale… v Ferrovi… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Fortale… v Ferrovi… | 0-2 |
| Feb 12 | Fortale… v Desport… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Fortale… v Ceará | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Fortale… v Rio Bra… | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Fortale… v Vitoria | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Fortale… v Vilavel… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Fortale… v Iguatu | 1-1 |
Ceará
18.0%
| Feb 26 | Ceará v Primave… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Ceará v Floresta | 4-0 |
| Feb 15 | Ceará v Floresta | 0-3 |
| Feb 08 | Ceará v Fortale… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Ceará v Horizon… | 4-0 |
| Jan 25 | Ceará v Ferrovi… | 1-5 |
| Jan 22 | Ceará v Pague M… | 1-4 |
| Jan 17 | Ceará v Iguatu | 1-1 |
| Jan 15 | Ceará v Maguary… | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Ceará v Floresta | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 08, 2026 | Ceará | 0-0 | Fortaleza |
| Nov 06, 2025 | Ceará | 1-1 | Fortaleza |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Fortaleza | 0-1 | Ceará |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Ceará | 1-1 | Fortaleza |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Fortaleza | 0-1 | Ceará |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Fortaleza | 1-2 | Ceará |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Ceará | 1-1 | Fortaleza |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0-0 | Ceará |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0-1 | Ceará |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Fortaleza | 3-3 | Ceará |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
35%
Market
41%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Fortaleza in strong form (3W in last 5)
Ceará in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.