Cearense - 1 · Feb 26, 2026 22:00
Ferroviária
PWR 41
Floresta
PWR 35
Ferroviária
PWR 41
1 - 0
FT
Floresta
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Ferroviária to win (76% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
76%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (13%)0-1 (11%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
61%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
39Attack0
52Defense100
Goals/G
1.10.0
Conc/G
1.40.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ferroviária
LWLDL
STABLE
Floresta
LLWDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 1% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Ferroviáriavs
1.02
FlorestaGoal Probability
Ferroviária
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Floresta
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (21%)0-0 (21%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 2.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Ferroviária+1
Gap#4
Floresta
WR 30% 40 pts
WR 32% 22 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviária | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 37 | 45 | 40 |
| Floresta | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 23 | 22 |
Ferroviária
6.0%
| Feb 25 | Ferrovi… v Votupor… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Ferrovi… v Monte A… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Ferrovi… v Fortale… | 2-0 |
| Feb 18 | Ferrovi… v São Jos… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Ferrovi… v Fortale… | 0-2 |
| Feb 14 | Ferrovi… v Sertãoz… | 3-2 |
| Feb 11 | Ferrovi… v Água Sa… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Ferrovi… v XV de P… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Ferrovi… v Iguatu | 2-0 |
| Feb 02 | Ferrovi… v Floresta | 0-0 |
Floresta
6.0%
| Feb 22 | Floresta v Ceará | 4-0 |
| Feb 15 | Floresta v Ceará | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Floresta v Horizon… | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Floresta v Ferrovi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | Floresta v Fortale… | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | Floresta v Iguatu | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Floresta v Maguary… | 0-3 |
| Jan 10 | Floresta v Ceará | 0-1 |
| Jan 07 | Floresta v Pague M… | 0-2 |
| Oct 11 | Floresta v Caxias | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 02, 2026 | Floresta | 0-0 | Ferroviária |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Floresta | 3-3 | Ferroviária |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Floresta | 0-2 | Ferroviária |
| Dec 04, 2024 | Ferroviária | 0-2 | Floresta |
| Nov 21, 2024 | Floresta | 2-2 | Ferroviária |
| May 28, 2024 | Floresta | 1-2 | Ferroviária |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Ferroviária | 1-3 | Floresta |
| Jun 26, 2022 | Ferroviária | 0-2 | Floresta |
| Nov 03, 2021 | Ferroviária | 1-1 | Floresta |
| Oct 27, 2021 | Floresta | 0-0 | Ferroviária |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ferroviária struggling (3L in last 5)
Floresta struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.