Liga Nacional · Mar 15, 2026 01:30
Atlético Choloma
PWR 22
PWR 22
1-1
predicted
Juticalpa
PWR 31
PWR 31
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (11%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
33Attack38
18Defense29
Goals/G
0.91.1
Conc/G
2.32.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atlético Cholo…
DLLWL
STABLE
Juticalpa
LWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Atlético Cholo…vs
0.75
JuticalpaGoal Probability
Atlético Ch…
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Juticalpa
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Atlético Ch…-1
Gap#10
Juticalpa
WR 13% 18 pts
WR 24% 53 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Chol… | 30 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 70 | 18 |
| Juticalpa | 55 | 13 | 14 | 28 | 59 | 111 | 53 |
Atlético Cholo…
6.0%
| Mar 11 | Atlétic… v CD Mara… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Atlétic… v CD Mota… | 1-3 |
| Feb 26 | Atlétic… v CD Olim… | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Atlétic… v Victoria | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Atlétic… v Real Es… | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Atlétic… v Olancho | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Atlétic… v Platens… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Atlétic… v Génesis | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Atlétic… v Lobos U… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Atlétic… v Jutical… | 1-0 |
Juticalpa
4.0%
| Mar 09 | Jutical… v Lobos U… | 3-2 |
| Mar 01 | Jutical… v Victoria | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Jutical… v CD Mota… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Jutical… v Platens… | 4-0 |
| Feb 14 | Jutical… v Olancho | 4-1 |
| Feb 12 | Jutical… v Real Es… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Jutical… v Génesis | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Jutical… v CD Olim… | 2-2 |
| Jan 29 | Jutical… v CD Mara… | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Jutical… v Atlétic… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jan 24, 2026 | Juticalpa | 1-0 | Atlético Chol… |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Atlético Chol… | 2-2 | Juticalpa |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Juticalpa | 3-2 | Atlético Chol… |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Atlético Chol… | 2-7 | Juticalpa |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Atlético Choloma struggling (3L in last 5)
Juticalpa struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.