Liga Nacional · Mar 14, 2026 23:15
Olancho
PWR 35
Real Espana
PWR 35
Olancho
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Real Espana
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Olancho to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (14%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
63%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
41%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Olancho
DWDLD
STABLE
Real Espana
WDDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Olanchovs
0.62
Real EspanaGoal Probability
Olancho
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Real Espana
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (8%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Olancho+1
Gap#3
Real Espana
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Olancho
10.0%
| Mar 11 | Olancho v GĂ©nesis | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Olancho v Platens… | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Olancho v CD Mota… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Olancho v Victoria | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Olancho v CD Mara… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Olancho v Jutical… | 4-1 |
| Feb 11 | Olancho v Atlétic… | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Olancho v Lobos U… | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Olancho v CD Olim… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Olancho v Real Es… | 2-0 |
Real Espana
12.0%
| Mar 12 | Real Es… v Victoria | 4-1 |
| Mar 08 | Real Es… v CD Olim… | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | Real Es… v Platens… | 2-2 |
| Feb 25 | Real Es… v Los Ang… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Real Es… v Lobos U… | 4-3 |
| Feb 18 | Real Es… v Los Ang… | 1-6 |
| Feb 15 | Real Es… v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | Real Es… v Jutical… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Real Es… v CD Mara… | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Real Es… v CD Mota… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 25, 2026 | Real Espana | 2-0 | Olancho |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Olancho | 1-1 | Real Espana |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Olancho | 4-1 | Real Espana |
| May 04, 2025 | Real Espana | 1-0 | Olancho |
| Mar 01, 2025 | Olancho | 0-3 | Real Espana |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Real Espana | 1-1 | Olancho |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Olancho | 3-1 | Real Espana |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Real Espana | 1-1 | Olancho |
| Feb 01, 2024 | Olancho | 1-1 | Real Espana |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Olancho | 1-1 | Real Espana |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.