Liga Nacional · Mar 14, 2026 21:00
CD Marathon
PWR 35
Lobos Upnfm
PWR 35
CD Marathon
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Lobos Upnfm
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
CD Marathon Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes 58%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
0Attack37
100Defense42
Goals/G
0.01.1
Conc/G
0.01.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
CD Marathon
DWLDD
STABLE
Lobos Upnfm
LWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
CD Marathonvs
1.05
Lobos UpnfmGoal Probability
CD Marathon
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Lobos Upnfm
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (10%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
CD Marathon+6
Gap#8
Lobos Upnfm
WR 46% 161 pts
WR 23% 88 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Marathon | 95 | 44 | 29 | 22 | 145 | 91 | 161 |
| Lobos Upnfm | 90 | 21 | 25 | 44 | 95 | 150 | 88 |
CD Marathon
10.0%
| Mar 11 | CD Mara… v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | CD Mara… v CD Olim… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | CD Mara… v Génesis | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | CD Mara… v Olancho | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | CD Mara… v CD Mota… | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | CD Mara… v Platens… | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | CD Mara… v Real Es… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | CD Mara… v Victoria | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | CD Mara… v Jutical… | 3-0 |
| Jan 25 | CD Mara… v Lobos U… | 1-1 |
Lobos Upnfm
12.0%
| Mar 11 | Lobos U… v CD Mota… | 2-0 |
| Mar 09 | Lobos U… v Jutical… | 3-2 |
| Mar 02 | Lobos U… v Génesis | 0-2 |
| Feb 26 | Lobos U… v Platens… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Lobos U… v Real Es… | 4-3 |
| Feb 12 | Lobos U… v Victoria | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | Lobos U… v CD Olim… | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Lobos U… v Olancho | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Lobos U… v Atlétic… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Lobos U… v CD Mara… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 25, 2026 | Lobos Upnfm | 1-1 | CD Marathon |
| Dec 04, 2025 | CD Marathon | 2-0 | Lobos Upnfm |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Lobos Upnfm | 2-2 | CD Marathon |
| May 04, 2025 | Lobos Upnfm | 0-0 | CD Marathon |
| Mar 01, 2025 | CD Marathon | 3-3 | Lobos Upnfm |
| Oct 26, 2024 | CD Marathon | 1-2 | Lobos Upnfm |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Lobos Upnfm | 2-0 | CD Marathon |
| Mar 09, 2024 | Lobos Upnfm | 0-1 | CD Marathon |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CD Marathon | 3-1 | Lobos Upnfm |
| Nov 25, 2023 | CD Marathon | 3-0 | Lobos Upnfm |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lobos Upnfm in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.