Arab Club Champions Cup · Aug 09, 2023 18:00
Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 45
Al Shabab
PWR 23
Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 45
3 - 1
FT
Al Shabab
PWR 23
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 1.5/g, expected 3.0 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Al-Ahli Saudi Win
Score
3-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)1-0 (7%)
CORRECT 3-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
64%
64%
Team Comparison
70Attack18
30Defense48
Goals/G
2.00.5
Conc/G
2.01.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al-Ahli Saudi
LDWWW
STABLE
Al Shabab
DWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 2/8 draws (25%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
Al-Ahli Saudivs
1.06
Al ShababGoal Probability
Al-Ahli Sau…
0
8%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Al Shabab
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)2-0 (7%)4-1 (7%)4-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 64% | 37% | - |
| 4.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 5.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Al-Ahli Sau…+1
Gap#4
Al Shabab
WR 33% 3 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Saudi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| Al Shabab | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Al-Ahli Saudi
14.0%
| Jul 30 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Sadd… | 2-3 |
| May 29 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Hazem | 0-0 |
| May 23 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Qadi… | 1-0 |
| May 19 | Al-Ahli… v Damac | 0-1 |
| Apr 18 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Masr… | 2-0 |
| Apr 07 | Al-Ahli… v Al Shab… | 3-0 |
| Apr 04 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Fate… | 0-2 |
| Apr 01 | Al-Ahli… v Al Khal… | 2-0 |
| Mar 14 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Fate… | 3-1 |
| Mar 12 | Al-Ahli… v Al Riya… | 0-2 |
Al Shabab
10.0%
| Jul 28 | Al Shab… v Al-Masr… | 0-0 |
| May 31 | Al Shab… v Damac | 1-4 |
| May 27 | Al Shab… v Al Taaw… | 0-3 |
| May 27 | Al Shab… v Al-Fais… | 1-0 |
| May 23 | Al Shab… v Al-Masr… | 3-2 |
| May 14 | Al Shab… v Al-Etti… | 1-0 |
| May 03 | Al Shab… v Al-Fate… | 1-0 |
| Apr 27 | Al Shab… v Al-Itti… | 2-1 |
| Apr 11 | Al Shab… v Al Khal… | 2-3 |
| Apr 07 | Al Shab… v Al-Ahli… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Apr 07, 2023 | Al Shabab | 3-0 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| Oct 10, 2022 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-1 | Al Shabab |
| Jun 27, 2022 | Al Shabab | 0-0 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| Apr 03, 2022 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 2-1 | Al Shabab |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Al Shabab | 2-1 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| Feb 17, 2022 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 5-0 | Al Shabab |
| Jan 01, 2022 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 3-4 | Al Shabab |
| Feb 22, 2021 | Al Shabab | 3-0 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.