South Australia NPL · Mar 07, 2026 09:00
Croydon Kings
PWR 35
Adelaide United
PWR 57
Croydon Kings
PWR 35
0 - 4
FT
Adelaide United
PWR 57
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Adelaide United to win (55% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)1-0 (6%)
WRONG 0-4
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.83x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.53x
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 66%
Over 3.5
65%
65%
Team Comparison
0Attack59
100Defense65
Goals/G
0.01.7
Conc/G
0.01.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Croydon Kings
WWDDW
STABLE
Adelaide United
DWDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 4/9 draws (44%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Croydon Kingsvs
1.35
Adelaide UnitedGoal Probability
Croydon Kin…
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Adelaide Un…
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)2-3 (5%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 4.5 | 46% | 55% | - |
| 5.5 | 29% | 72% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Croydon Kin…+1
Gap#5
Adelaide Un…
WR 55% 37 pts
WR 46% 35 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croydon Kings | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 37 |
| Adelaide Unit… | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 22 | 35 |
Croydon Kings
16.0%
| Feb 27 | Croydon… v Para Hi… | 3-2 |
| Sep 12 | Croydon… v MetroSt… | 1-2 |
| Sep 06 | Croydon… v Adelaid… | 0-0 |
| Aug 30 | Croydon… v Adelaid… | 1-1 |
| Aug 23 | Croydon… v West To… | 4-1 |
| Aug 15 | Croydon… v West To… | 1-0 |
| Aug 02 | Croydon… v White C… | 0-2 |
| Jul 19 | Croydon… v Adelaid… | 2-2 |
| Jun 28 | Croydon… v Para Hi… | 4-1 |
| Apr 25 | Croydon… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
Adelaide United
16.0%
| Mar 06 | Adelaid… v Welling… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Adelaid… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Adelaid… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Adelaid… v Perth G… | 4-0 |
| Feb 14 | Adelaid… v Sydney | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Adelaid… v Newcast… | 2-3 |
| Jan 30 | Adelaid… v Macarth… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Adelaid… v Brisban… | 2-3 |
| Jan 17 | Adelaid… v Melbour… | 2-1 |
| Jan 11 | Adelaid… v Welling… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Sep 06, 2025 | Adelaide Unit… | 0-0 | Croydon Kings |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Croydon Kings | 1-1 | Adelaide Unit… |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Croydon Kings | 2-2 | Adelaide Unit… |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Adelaide Unit… | 2-1 | Croydon Kings |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Adelaide Unit… | 4-0 | Croydon Kings |
| May 04, 2024 | Croydon Kings | 1-0 | Adelaide Unit… |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Croydon Kings | 1-0 | Adelaide Unit… |
| May 06, 2023 | Adelaide Unit… | 1-1 | Croydon Kings |
| Jun 04, 2022 | Adelaide Unit… | 1-0 | Croydon Kings |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
50%
Market
36%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Croydon Kings in strong form (3W in last 5)
Adelaide United in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.