South Australia NPL · Mar 07, 2026 05:30
Stirling Lions
PWR 53
Adelaide United
PWR 57
Stirling Lions
PWR 53
4 - 3
FT
Adelaide United
PWR 57
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Stirling Lions Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)1-1 (6%)1-0 (6%)
CORRECT 4-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.62x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.75x
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 61%
Over 3.5
66%
66%
Team Comparison
53Attack59
56Defense65
Goals/G
1.51.7
Conc/G
1.31.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Stirling Lions
WWWWL
UP
Adelaide United
DWDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 2/7 draws (29%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.84
Stirling Lionsvs
1.05
Adelaide UnitedGoal Probability
Stirling Li…
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Adelaide Un…
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)1-1 (6%)1-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 5.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Stirling Li…-6
Gap#5
Adelaide Un…
WR 50% 14 pts
WR 46% 35 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stirling Lions | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| Adelaide Unit… | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 22 | 35 |
Stirling Lions
16.0%
| Feb 28 | Stirlin… v Fremant… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Stirlin… v White C… | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Stirlin… v Perth R… | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Stirlin… v Balcatta | 2-0 |
| Jan 24 | Stirlin… v Olympic… | 4-3 |
| Sep 13 | Stirlin… v Adelaid… | 2-3 |
| Sep 06 | Stirlin… v Salisbu… | 3-1 |
| Aug 30 | Stirlin… v Salisbu… | 0-1 |
| Aug 23 | Stirlin… v Western… | 1-2 |
| Aug 16 | Stirlin… v Salisbu… | 4-0 |
Adelaide United
16.0%
| Mar 06 | Adelaid… v Welling… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Adelaid… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Adelaid… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Adelaid… v Perth G… | 4-0 |
| Feb 14 | Adelaid… v Sydney | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Adelaid… v Newcast… | 2-3 |
| Jan 30 | Adelaid… v Macarth… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Adelaid… v Brisban… | 2-3 |
| Jan 17 | Adelaid… v Melbour… | 2-1 |
| Jan 11 | Adelaid… v Welling… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Sep 13, 2025 | Stirling Lions | 2-3 | Adelaide Unit… |
| Jul 05, 2025 | Adelaide Unit… | 1-1 | Stirling Lions |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Stirling Lions | 3-2 | Adelaide Unit… |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Adelaide Unit… | 2-1 | Stirling Lions |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Stirling Lions | 1-0 | Adelaide Unit… |
| May 27, 2023 | Adelaide Unit… | 1-1 | Stirling Lions |
| Mar 04, 2023 | Stirling Lions | 1-0 | Adelaide Unit… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
50%
Market
45%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Stirling Lions in strong form (4W in last 5)
Adelaide United in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.