Primeira DivisĂŁo · Feb 27, 2026 13:00
Benfica
PWR 35
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Jia Hua
PWR 35
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (26%)0-0 (20%)2-0 (17%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)0-1 (6%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
21%
Under 2.5
79%
79%
BTTS
No
No 19%
Over 3.5
39%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Benfica
WWLWL
STABLE
Jia Hua
WWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Benficavs
0.31
Jia HuaGoal Probability
Benfica
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Jia Hua
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Benfica-3
Gap#1
Jia Hua
WR 50% 6 pts
WR 50% 9 pts
Benfica
12.0%
| Feb 01 | Benfica v Cheng F… | 1-3 |
| Aug 02 | Benfica v Univers… | 4-1 |
| Jul 26 | Benfica v Shao Ji… | 2-1 |
| Jul 13 | Benfica v Cheng F… | 1-5 |
| Jul 05 | Benfica v CPK | 1-3 |
| Jun 22 | Benfica v Shao Ji… | 0-1 |
| May 30 | Benfica v Cheng F… | 1-0 |
| May 10 | Benfica v Jia Hua | 1-2 |
| May 04 | Benfica v Cheng F… | 0-0 |
| Jul 13 | Benfica v Cheng F… | 3-0 |
Jia Hua
16.0%
| Jan 24 | Jia Hua v Univers… | 3-0 |
| Jan 18 | Jia Hua v Hang Sai | 0-3 |
| Aug 03 | Jia Hua v Chiba | 1-0 |
| Jul 27 | Jia Hua v Hang Sai | 3-1 |
| Jun 28 | Jia Hua v Chiba | 2-0 |
| Jun 21 | Jia Hua v Hang Sai | 3-0 |
| May 10 | Jia Hua v Benfica | 1-2 |
| Apr 26 | Jia Hua v Hang Sai | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Jia Hua v Univers… | 2-0 |
| Jul 28 | Jia Hua v Univers… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| May 10, 2025 | Jia Hua | 1-2 | Benfica |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Jia Hua | 1-2 | Benfica |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
Jia Hua in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.