Piauiense · Mar 07, 2026 20:00
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 56
Santos
PWR 51
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 56
2 - 1
FT
Santos
PWR 51
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)3-0 (7%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.36x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.07x
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No 44%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
55Attack40
68Defense75
Goals/G
1.61.2
Conc/G
0.90.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Athletico Para…
WDDWL
STABLE
Santos
DLWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Athletico Para…vs
0.77
SantosGoal Probability
Athletico P…
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Santos
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (10%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Athletico P…-3
Gap#3
Santos
WR 43% 23 pts
WR 36% 52 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico Par… | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 23 |
| Santos | 33 | 12 | 16 | 5 | 38 | 24 | 52 |
Athletico Para…
12.0%
| Mar 02 | Athleti… v Santos | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Athleti… v Vila No… | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | Athleti… v RB Brag… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Athleti… v Vila No… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Athleti… v Londrina | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Athleti… v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Athleti… v ABECAT … | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Athleti… v Londrina | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Athleti… v ABECAT … | 0-3 |
| Feb 12 | Athleti… v Santos | 2-1 |
Santos
14.0%
| Mar 05 | Santos v Indepen… | 2-2 |
| Mar 02 | Santos v Athleti… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Santos v Oratório | 1-3 |
| Feb 26 | Santos v Vasco D… | 2-1 |
| Feb 23 | Santos v Ypirang… | 2-3 |
| Feb 22 | Santos v Novoriz… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Santos v Figueir… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Santos v Águia d… | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Santos v Capital | 2-1 |
| Feb 19 | Santos v Cametá | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 02, 2026 | Santos | 0-2 | Athletico Par… |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Athletico Par… | 2-1 | Santos |
| Feb 07, 2026 | Santos | 0-0 | Athletico Par… |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 2-2 | Santos |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Santos | 1-1 | Athletico Par… |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Athletico Par… | 3-0 | Santos |
| Aug 05, 2023 | Santos | 1-1 | Athletico Par… |
| Sep 28, 2022 | Santos | 2-0 | Athletico Par… |
| Jun 04, 2022 | Athletico Par… | 2-2 | Santos |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Athletico Par… | 0-1 | Santos |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
50%
Market
54%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Santos in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.