Piauiense · Mar 02, 2026 22:00
Santos
PWR 51
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 56
Santos
PWR 51
0 - 2
FT
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 56
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Santos to win (79% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
79%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
WRONG 0-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.51x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.71x
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
40Attack55
75Defense68
Goals/G
1.21.6
Conc/G
0.70.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Santos
WWWLD
UP
Athletico Para…
DDWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Santosvs
1.12
Athletico Para…Goal Probability
Santos
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Athletico P…
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (13%)0-1 (11%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Santos+3
Gap#6
Athletico P…
WR 36% 52 pts
WR 43% 23 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | 33 | 12 | 16 | 5 | 38 | 24 | 52 |
| Athletico Par… | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 23 |
Santos
14.0%
| Feb 28 | Santos v Oratório | 1-3 |
| Feb 26 | Santos v Vasco D… | 2-1 |
| Feb 23 | Santos v Ypirang… | 2-3 |
| Feb 22 | Santos v Novoriz… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Santos v Figueir… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Santos v Águia d… | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Santos v Capital | 2-1 |
| Feb 19 | Santos v Cametá | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Santos v Velo Cl… | 6-0 |
| Feb 15 | Santos v Paysand… | 0-2 |
Athletico Para…
8.0%
| Mar 01 | Athleti… v Vila No… | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | Athleti… v RB Brag… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Athleti… v Vila No… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Athleti… v Londrina | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Athleti… v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Athleti… v ABECAT … | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Athleti… v Londrina | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Athleti… v ABECAT … | 0-3 |
| Feb 12 | Athleti… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Athleti… v Teresin… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 12, 2026 | Athletico Par… | 2-1 | Santos |
| Feb 07, 2026 | Santos | 0-0 | Athletico Par… |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 2-2 | Santos |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Santos | 1-1 | Athletico Par… |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Athletico Par… | 3-0 | Santos |
| Aug 05, 2023 | Santos | 1-1 | Athletico Par… |
| Sep 28, 2022 | Santos | 2-0 | Athletico Par… |
| Jun 04, 2022 | Athletico Par… | 2-2 | Santos |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Athletico Par… | 0-1 | Santos |
| Sep 15, 2021 | Santos | 0-1 | Athletico Par… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
50%
Market
44%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Santos in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.