Paraibano · Mar 08, 2026 21:00
Fluminense
PWR 49
Sousa
PWR 35
Fluminense
PWR 49
0 - 1
FT
Sousa
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Fluminense Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (19%)0-1 (17%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (6%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
23%
Under 2.5
77%
77%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
31Attack0
73Defense100
Goals/G
0.90.0
Conc/G
0.80.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fluminense
DDDWL
STABLE
Sousa
LWDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 75% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 100% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (36.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Fluminensevs
0.88
SousaGoal Probability
Fluminense
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
3%
4
1%
Sousa
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (30%)0-1 (21%)1-0 (16%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Fluminense-2
Gap#1
Sousa
WR 42% 70 pts
WR 45% 87 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 43 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 38 | 33 | 70 |
| Sousa | 51 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 58 | 32 | 87 |
Fluminense
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Flumineā¦ v Ferroviā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Flumineā¦ v Vasco Dā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Flumineā¦ v Santo Aā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Flumineā¦ v Sousa | 0-1 |
| Feb 26 | Flumineā¦ v Palmeirā¦ | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Flumineā¦ v SĆ£o Berā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Flumineā¦ v GrĆŖmio ā¦ | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Flumineā¦ v Vasco Dā¦ | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Flumineā¦ v EC de Pā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Flumineā¦ v XV de Pā¦ | 0-1 |
Sousa
12.0%
| Feb 28 | Sousa v Flumineā¦ | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Sousa v Pombal ā¦ | 2-0 |
| Feb 18 | Sousa v Flumineā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Sousa v Nacionaā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Sousa v AtlĆ©ticā¦ | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Sousa v EC de Pā¦ | 0-1 |
| Jan 28 | Sousa v Treze | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Sousa v Botafogo | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | Sousa v Serra Bā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Sousa v Confianā¦ | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 28, 2026 | Sousa | 0-1 | Fluminense |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Fluminense | 1-1 | Sousa |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Sousa | 2-0 | Fluminense |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Sousa | 3-0 | Fluminense |
| Jan 24, 2023 | Sousa | 0-1 | Fluminense |
| Apr 27, 2022 | Fluminense | 1-1 | Sousa |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Sousa | 0-1 | Fluminense |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Fluminense | 2-1 | Sousa |
| Jun 20, 2021 | Sousa | 0-0 | Fluminense |
| Jun 17, 2021 | Fluminense | 1-0 | Sousa |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.