Paraibano · Mar 07, 2026 20:00
Botafogo
PWR 50
Botafogo
PWR 50
3 - 1
FT
Serra Branca
PWR 35
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Botafogo Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (12%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
CORRECT 3-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.34x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.12x
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
64%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
44Attack0
68Defense100
Goals/G
1.30.0
Conc/G
0.90.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Botafogo
DLDWW
STABLE
Serra Branca
WDLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 4/8 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Botafogovs
0.47
Serra BrancaGoal Probability
Botafogo
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Serra Branca
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Botafogo+3
Gap#5
Serra Branca
WR 37% 70 pts
WR 28% 34 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | 46 | 17 | 19 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 70 |
| Serra Branca | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 33 | 34 |
Botafogo
12.0%
| Mar 04 | Botafogo v Barcelo… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Botafogo v Serra B… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Botafogo v Boavista | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | Botafogo v Naciona… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Botafogo v Boavista | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Botafogo v Serra B… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Botafogo v Treze | 2-0 |
| Feb 19 | Botafogo v Naciona… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Botafogo v Capivar… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Botafogo v Flamengo | 1-2 |
Serra Branca
8.0%
| Mar 01 | Serra B… v Botafogo | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Serra B… v Botafogo | 1-1 |
| Feb 18 | Serra B… v Porto BA | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Serra B… v Flumine… | 1-0 |
| Feb 09 | Serra B… v Naciona… | 2-2 |
| Feb 04 | Serra B… v Confian… | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | Serra B… v Pombal … | 3-1 |
| Jan 29 | Serra B… v Atlétic… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Serra B… v EC de P… | 0-2 |
| Jan 22 | Serra B… v Sousa | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Mar 01, 2026 | Serra Branca | 1-0 | Botafogo |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Botafogo | 1-1 | Serra Branca |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Botafogo | 1-1 | Serra Branca |
| Dec 30, 2024 | Botafogo | 1-0 | Serra Branca |
| Apr 02, 2024 | Serra Branca | 1-2 | Botafogo |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Botafogo | 0-0 | Serra Branca |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Serra Branca | 0-1 | Botafogo |
| Feb 02, 2023 | Serra Branca | 1-1 | Botafogo |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
50%
Market
55%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.