Paraibano · Mar 01, 2026 21:00
Botafogo
PWR 50
Serra Branca
PWR 35
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Botafogo
PWR 50
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Botafogo to win (55% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (21%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (5%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.64x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.59x
Over 2.5
20%
Under 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack44
100Defense68
Goals/G
0.01.3
Conc/G
0.00.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Serra Branca
DLLDW
STABLE
Botafogo
DWWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 4/7 draws (57%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Serra Brancavs
0.70
BotafogoGoal Probability
Serra Branca
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Botafogo
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (15%)0-1 (15%)1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Serra Branca-3
Gap#2
Botafogo
WR 28% 34 pts
WR 37% 70 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serra Branca | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 33 | 34 |
| Botafogo | 46 | 17 | 19 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 70 |
Serra Branca
8.0%
| Feb 22 | Serra B… v Botafogo | 1-1 |
| Feb 18 | Serra B… v Porto BA | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Serra B… v Flumine… | 1-0 |
| Feb 09 | Serra B… v Naciona… | 2-2 |
| Feb 04 | Serra B… v Confian… | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | Serra B… v Pombal … | 3-1 |
| Jan 29 | Serra B… v Atlétic… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Serra B… v EC de P… | 0-2 |
| Jan 22 | Serra B… v Sousa | 2-1 |
| Jan 18 | Serra B… v Treze | 0-2 |
Botafogo
16.0%
| Feb 28 | Botafogo v Boavista | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | Botafogo v Naciona… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Botafogo v Boavista | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Botafogo v Serra B… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Botafogo v Treze | 2-0 |
| Feb 19 | Botafogo v Naciona… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Botafogo v Capivar… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Botafogo v Flamengo | 1-2 |
| Feb 12 | Botafogo v Flumine… | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Botafogo v Atlétic… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 22, 2026 | Botafogo | 1-1 | Serra Branca |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Botafogo | 1-1 | Serra Branca |
| Dec 30, 2024 | Botafogo | 1-0 | Serra Branca |
| Apr 02, 2024 | Serra Branca | 1-2 | Botafogo |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Botafogo | 0-0 | Serra Branca |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Serra Branca | 0-1 | Botafogo |
| Feb 02, 2023 | Serra Branca | 1-1 | Botafogo |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
39%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Botafogo in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.