Baiano - 1 · Feb 28, 2026 20:00
Bahia
PWR 35
Figueirense
PWR 35
Bahia
PWR 35
4 - 2
FT
Figueirense
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 78% home + 15% draw = 93% combined
97%
accuracy
1.13x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bahia Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)1-1 (7%)
CORRECT 4-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
93%
Home/Draw
1.13x
DC X2
Away/Draw
4.87x
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
64%
64%
Team Comparison
0Attack27
100Defense50
Goals/G
0.00.8
Conc/G
0.01.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Bahia
WWLWD
STABLE
Figueirense
WWDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTODDS_CONFIRM_75
Full data available (Tier 1)Bookmaker consensus confirms HOME at 78%Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 2/6 draws (33%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Bahiavs
0.96
FigueirenseGoal Probability
Bahia
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Figueirense
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)4-0 (8%)2-0 (7%)4-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 4.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 5.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Bahia+3
Gap#7
Figueirense
WR 72% 43 pts
WR 27% 34 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 41 | 15 | 43 |
| Figueirense | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 49 | 34 |
Bahia
14.0%
| Feb 25 | Bahia v O'Higgi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Bahia v Atlétic… | 2-4 |
| Feb 18 | Bahia v O'Higgi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Bahia v Vasco D… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Bahia v Figueir… | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Bahia v Flumine… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Bahia v Porto BA | 3-1 |
| Jan 28 | Bahia v Corinth… | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Bahia v Vitoria | 0-1 |
| Jan 20 | Bahia v Barcelo… | 5-1 |
Figueirense
10.0%
| Feb 27 | Figueir… v Joinvil… | 0-3 |
| Feb 22 | Figueir… v Porto BA | 1-3 |
| Feb 22 | Figueir… v Santos | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Figueir… v Peneden… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Figueir… v MarcĂli… | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Figueir… v Barcelo… | 0-0 |
| Feb 13 | Figueir… v MarcĂli… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Figueir… v Piauà | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Figueir… v Bahia | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Figueir… v Parnahy… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Feb 08, 2026 | Figueirense | 1-1 | Bahia |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Bahia | 2-0 | Figueirense |
| Feb 05, 2025 | Figueirense | 0-0 | Bahia |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Figueirense | 1-2 | Bahia |
| Jan 10, 2023 | Bahia | 3-1 | Figueirense |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Figueirense | 1-0 | Bahia |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
50%
Market
96%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Bahia in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.