FA Trophy · Feb 28, 2026 15:00

Southampton
PWR 36

Yeovil Town
PWR 32

Southampton
PWR 36
1 - 1
FT

Yeovil Town
PWR 32
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Southampton to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (16%)2-0 (15%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (3%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.55x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.78x
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No
No 26%
Over 3.5
59%
59%
Team Comparison
43Attack30
59Defense60
Goals/G
1.41.0
Conc/G
1.41.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Southampton
LWWDW
STABLE
Yeovil Town
WLLDL
STABLE
Key Players
Southampton
Tom Fellows
1A
Finn Azaz
1G
Flynn Downes
1G
Jack Stephens
Ross Stewart
1A
Yeovil Town
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FA Trophy
Expected Goals (xG)
3.24
Southamptonvs
0.31
Yeovil TownGoal Probability
Southampton
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Yeovil Town
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)4-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 4.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 5.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Southampton+10
Gap#11
Yeovil Town
WR 67% 13 pts
WR 33% 5 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| Yeovil Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Southampton
14.0%
| Feb 25 | Southam… v Yeovil … | 3-2 |
| Feb 24 | Southam… v QPR | 5-0 |
| Feb 21 | Southam… v Wealdst… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Southam… v Charlton | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Southam… v Woking | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Southam… v Leicest… | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Southam… v Braintr… | 1-1 |
| Feb 10 | Southam… v Leicest… | 3-4 |
| Feb 07 | Southam… v Watford | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Southam… v Bolton | 1-0 |
Yeovil Town
6.0%
| Feb 25 | Yeovil … v Southam… | 3-2 |
| Feb 21 | Yeovil … v Carlisle | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Yeovil … v Aldersh… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Yeovil … v Rochdale | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Yeovil … v Boreham… | 3-2 |
| Feb 07 | Yeovil … v Altrinc… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Yeovil … v Crawley… | 2-1 |
| Jan 03 | Yeovil … v Braintr… | 3-1 |
| Dec 30 | Yeovil … v Eastlei… | 1-1 |
| Dec 26 | Yeovil … v Truro C… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Feb 25, 2026 | Yeovil Town | 3-2 | Southampton |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Southampton | 1-2 | Yeovil Town |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Yeovil Town | 1-2 | Southampton |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Southampton | 0-0 | Yeovil Town |
| Mar 09, 2021 | Southampton | 2-1 | Yeovil Town |
| Oct 27, 2020 | Yeovil Town | 1-2 | Southampton |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
46%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Southampton in strong form (3W in last 5)
Yeovil Town struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.