Federation Cup · Jul 18, 2023 14:00
Al Ahed
PWR 90
Al Nejmeh
PWR 50
Al Ahed
PWR 90
3 - 1
FT
Al Nejmeh
PWR 50
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.5/g, Away concedes 1.5/g, expected 3.0 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Al Ahed Win
Score
4-2
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (61%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (4%)2-0 (3%)0-2 (1%)
CORRECT 3-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
1%
Under 2.5
99%
99%
BTTS
No
No 5%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
88Attack53
83Defense48
Goals/G
2.51.5
Conc/G
0.51.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al Ahed
WWWWW
UP
Al Nejmeh
WWWWD
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMHOME_STREAK
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Al Ahedvs
0.20
Al NejmehGoal Probability
Al Ahed
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Al Nejmeh
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (25%)0-1 (17%)1-0 (17%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 41% | 60% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Al Ahed+3
Gap#4
Al Nejmeh
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 50% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahed | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Al Nejmeh | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Al Ahed
20.0%
| Jul 07 | Al Ahed v Al Hikma | 0-2 |
| Apr 24 | Al Ahed v Shabab … | 0-4 |
| Mar 12 | Al Ahed v Al Ain | 0-3 |
| Mar 04 | Al Ahed v Shabab … | 2-0 |
| Feb 12 | Al Ahed v Bourj | 1-0 |
| Jan 21 | Al Ahed v Bourj | 1-5 |
| Jan 13 | Al Ahed v Shabab … | 1-2 |
| Dec 09 | Al Ahed v Al Hikma | 2-3 |
| Nov 26 | Al Ahed v Bourj | 0-0 |
| Oct 28 | Al Ahed v Tadamon… | 0-1 |
Al Nejmeh
18.0%
| Jul 06 | Al Nejm… v Safa | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Al Nejm… v Shabab … | 1-4 |
| Jan 28 | Al Nejm… v Shabab … | 2-0 |
| Dec 17 | Al Nejm… v Tadamon… | 0-2 |
| Nov 27 | Al Nejm… v Tadamon… | 0-0 |
| Oct 01 | Al Nejm… v Shabab … | 1-2 |
| Sep 04 | Al Nejm… v Al Hikma | 0-2 |
| Apr 30 | Al Nejm… v Al Hikma | 0-2 |
| Mar 15 | Al Nejm… v Al Hikma | 2-0 |
| Jan 21 | Al Nejm… v Shabab … | 1-2 |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Al Ahed in strong form (5W in last 5)
Al Nejmeh in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.