Back Stats
Segunda DivisiĂłn · Mar 07, 2026 20:00

Aragua FC
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
BolĂ­var
PWR 35
29% 28% 43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Aragua FC Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)0-0 (1%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
DC 1X 82%
Home/Draw
1.29x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.33x
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS No
No 18%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aragua FC LLDLL
DOWN
BolĂ­var WLWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Aragua FC
vs
0.20
BolĂ­var
Goal Probability
Aragua FC
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
BolĂ­var
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (24%)0-0 (22%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (10%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 78% 22% OVER
1.5 45% 55% -
2.5 20% 80% UNDER
3.5 7% 93% UNDER
4.5 2% 98% UNDER
5.5 1% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#3
Aragua FC
+2
Gap
#5
BolĂ­var
WR 100% 3 pts WR 0% 3 pts
Aragua FC 2.0%
Mar 01 Aragua … v Petare 1-0
Oct 19 Aragua … v Petare 2-1
Oct 12 Aragua … v Petare 0-0
Oct 04 Aragua … v Mineros… 3-0
Sep 27 Aragua … v Monagas… 1-0
Sep 21 Aragua … v Angostu… 3-0
Sep 14 Aragua … v Bolívar 1-0
Sep 07 Aragua … v Dinamo … 1-1
Sep 03 Aragua … v Petare 1-0
Aug 30 Aragua … v Marítimo 2-1
BolĂ­var 12.0%
Mar 01 Bolívar v Mineros… 1-0
Oct 04 BolĂ­var v Petare 3-2
Sep 27 Bolívar v Dinamo … 1-0
Sep 20 BolĂ­var v MarĂ­timo 5-0
Sep 14 Bolívar v Aragua … 1-0
Sep 07 Bolívar v Monagas… 3-0
Sep 03 Bolívar v Angostu… 0-0
Aug 31 Bolívar v Mineros… 0-0
Aug 24 BolĂ­var v Petare 0-2
Aug 15 Bolívar v Dinamo … 3-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Sep 14, 2025 BolĂ­var 1-0 Aragua FC
Aug 03, 2025 Aragua FC 0-1 BolĂ­var
Jun 08, 2025 BolĂ­var 1-1 Aragua FC
Apr 20, 2025 Aragua FC 0-0 BolĂ­var
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
83%
Market
59%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
BolĂ­var in strong form (3W in last 5)
Aragua FC struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.