Iraqi League · Mar 07, 2026 20:15
Erbil
PWR 35
Al-Karma
PWR 35
PWR 35
2 - 3
FT
Erbil
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (22%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (6%)
WRONG 2-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.33x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.05x
Over 2.5
19%
Under 2.5
81%
81%
BTTS
No
No 26%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al-Karma
LWDDD
STABLE
Erbil
WLWDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Iraqi League
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Al-Karmavs
0.56
ErbilGoal Probability
Al-Karma
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Erbil
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (10%)0-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Al-Karma-2
Gap#3
Erbil
WR 58% 38 pts
WR 50% 41 pts
Al-Karma
10.0%
| Mar 01 | Al-Karma v Al Mina… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Al-Karma v Naft Ma… | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Al-Karma v Diyala | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Al-Karma v Al-Tala… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Al-Karma v Al Karkh | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Al-Karma v Newroz | 0-1 |
| Jan 22 | Al-Karma v Baghdad | 2-1 |
| Jan 18 | Al-Karma v Mosul | 1-3 |
| Jan 13 | Al-Karma v Al-Qasi… | 1-0 |
| Jan 09 | Al-Karma v Al Quwa… | 1-0 |
Erbil
12.0%
| Feb 21 | Erbil v Al-Qasi… | 0-2 |
| Feb 14 | Erbil v Zakho | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Erbil v Naft | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | Erbil v Baghdad | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Erbil v Al Karkh | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Erbil v Al-Tala… | 0-2 |
| Jan 17 | Erbil v Al Kahr… | 1-0 |
| Jan 13 | Erbil v Duhok | 2-1 |
| Jan 08 | Erbil v Mosul | 0-2 |
| Jan 04 | Erbil v Al Quwa… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 03, 2025 | Erbil | 2-1 | Al-Karma |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Al-Karma | 1-0 | Erbil |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Erbil | 1-1 | Al-Karma |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
46%
Market
54%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.