CONMEBOL Libertadores · Mar 11, 2026 00:30
Botafogo
PWR 47
Barcelona SC
PWR 53
Botafogo
PWR 47
0 - 1
FT
Barcelona SC
PWR 53
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (19%)1-0 (16%)3-0 (14%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
85%
Home/Draw
1.24x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.52x
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
41Attack26
65Defense83
Goals/G
1.20.8
Conc/G
1.00.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Botafogo
WLDLD
STABLE
Barcelona SC
WDLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Botafogovs
0.35
Barcelona SCGoal Probability
Botafogo
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Barcelona SC
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (25%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (8%)0-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Botafogo+2
Gap#6
Barcelona SC
WR 33% 8 pts
WR 50% 7 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| Barcelona SC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
Botafogo
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Botafogo v Serra B… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Botafogo v Bangu | 3-1 |
| Mar 04 | Botafogo v Barcelo… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Botafogo v Serra B… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Botafogo v Boavista | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | Botafogo v Naciona… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Botafogo v Boavista | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Botafogo v Serra B… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Botafogo v Treze | 2-0 |
| Feb 19 | Botafogo v Naciona… | 1-0 |
Barcelona SC
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Barcelo… v Emelec | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Barcelo… v Botafogo | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Barcelo… v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| Feb 26 | Barcelo… v Argenti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Barcelo… v Tecnico… | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Barcelo… v Argenti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Barcelo… v Aucas | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Barcelo… v Inter M… | 2-2 |
| Feb 05 | Barcelo… v Guayaqu… | 1-2 |
| Dec 21 | Barcelo… v Indepen… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Mar 04, 2026 | Barcelona SC | 1-1 | Botafogo |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
50%
Market
62%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Barcelona SC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.