Copa Grão Pará · Feb 28, 2026 22:00
Castanhal
PWR 49
Águia de Marabá
PWR 46
Castanhal
PWR 49
0 - 0
FT
Águia de Marabá
PWR 46
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Castanhal Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No
No 34%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
47Attack35
65Defense74
Goals/G
1.31.0
Conc/G
1.00.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Castanhal
DLWLD
STABLE
Águia de Marabá
WWDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/7 draws (43%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Castanhalvs
0.64
Águia de MarabáGoal Probability
Castanhal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Águia de Ma…
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (25%)0-1 (23%)1-0 (12%)0-2 (11%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Castanhal-2
Gap#1
Águia de Ma…
WR 33% 4 pts
WR 25% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castanhal | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Águia de Mara… | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Castanhal
8.0%
| Feb 25 | Castanh… v Guaraní… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Castanh… v Paysand… | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Castanh… v Capitao… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Castanh… v Capitao… | 2-0 |
| Feb 12 | Castanh… v Remo | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | Castanh… v Tuna Lu… | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Castanh… v São Rai… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Castanh… v Santos | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Castanh… v Cametá | 0-0 |
| Apr 06 | Castanh… v Tuna Lu… | 2-1 |
Águia de Marabá
16.0%
| Feb 25 | Águia d… v Indepen… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Águia d… v Santos | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Águia d… v Remo | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Águia d… v Cametá | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Águia d… v Capitao… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Águia d… v São Rai… | 2-3 |
| Feb 05 | Águia d… v Remo | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Águia d… v Tuna Lu… | 0-2 |
| Jan 25 | Águia d… v Santos | 2-0 |
| Apr 12 | Águia d… v Tuna Lu… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 02, 2025 | Castanhal | 1-1 | Águia de Mara… |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Águia de Mara… | 2-0 | Castanhal |
| Apr 08, 2023 | Castanhal | 1-2 | Águia de Mara… |
| Feb 05, 2023 | Castanhal | 1-1 | Águia de Mara… |
| Mar 22, 2022 | Castanhal | 0-1 | Águia de Mara… |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Águia de Mara… | 0-0 | Castanhal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Águia de Mara… | 1-0 | Castanhal |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Águia de Marabá in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.