Matogrossense · Mar 08, 2026 21:00
Mixto
PWR 35
Rioverdense
PWR 40
PWR 40
0 - 0
FT
Mixto
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (15%)0-2 (15%)0-3 (10%)1-1 (9%)1-2 (9%)0-0 (8%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
1%
Team Comparison
28Attack0
58Defense100
Goals/G
0.80.0
Conc/G
1.20.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Rioverdense
DLWWL
STABLE
Mixto
DDDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 3/5 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Rioverdensevs
1.98
MixtoGoal Probability
Rioverdense
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Mixto
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (43%)0-1 (21%)1-0 (16%)1-1 (8%)0-2 (5%)2-0 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 1.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Rioverdense+2
Gap#6
Mixto
WR 31% 61 pts
WR 31% 52 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rioverdense | 52 | 16 | 13 | 23 | 42 | 62 | 61 |
| Mixto | 39 | 12 | 16 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 52 |
Rioverdense
10.0%
| Mar 01 | Rioverd… v Mixto | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Rioverd… v Sport S… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Rioverd… v Sport S… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Rioverd… v União R… | 0-2 |
| Feb 04 | Rioverd… v CEOV Op… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Rioverd… v Chapada | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Rioverd… v Sport S… | 0-1 |
| Jan 25 | Rioverd… v Primave… | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Rioverd… v Mixto | 0-2 |
| Jan 18 | Rioverd… v Nova Mu… | 0-0 |
Mixto
6.0%
| Mar 01 | Mixto v Rioverd… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Mixto v CEOV Op… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Mixto v CEOV Op… | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Mixto v Flameng… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Mixto v Nova Mu… | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Mixto v Sport S… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Mixto v Primave… | 4-0 |
| Jan 28 | Mixto v CEOV Op… | 1-4 |
| Jan 25 | Mixto v Operári… | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Mixto v Rioverd… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Mar 01, 2026 | Mixto | 0-0 | Rioverdense |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Rioverdense | 0-2 | Mixto |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Mixto | 4-1 | Rioverdense |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Mixto | 1-1 | Rioverdense |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Rioverdense | 1-1 | Mixto |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.