Pernambucano - 1 · Mar 01, 2026 21:00
Sport Recife
PWR 35
Nautico Recife
PWR 35
Sport Recife
PWR 35
3 - 3
FT
Nautico Recife
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sport Recife Win
Score
4-4
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)
WRONG 3-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.45x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.7x
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
50%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sport Recife
WWWDW
UP
Nautico Recife
WWWLW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Sport Recifevs
1.13
Nautico RecifeGoal Probability
Sport Recife
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Nautico Rec…
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 4.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Sport Recife-1
Gap#1
Nautico Rec…
WR 100% 14 pts
WR 100% 18 pts
Sport Recife
18.0%
| Feb 21 | Sport R… v Retrô F… | 3-2 |
| Feb 12 | Sport R… v Retrô F… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Sport R… v Santa C… | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Sport R… v Maguary… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Sport R… v Acadêmi… | 3-0 |
| Jan 21 | Sport R… v Decisão | 5-0 |
| Jan 18 | Sport R… v Nautico… | 4-0 |
| Jan 15 | Sport R… v Retrô F… | 2-0 |
| Jan 10 | Sport R… v Jaguaré | 2-2 |
| Dec 03 | Sport R… v Bastia | 2-0 |
Nautico Recife
16.0%
| Feb 22 | Nautico… v Santa C… | 2-0 |
| Feb 11 | Nautico… v Santa C… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Nautico… v Acadêmi… | 2-3 |
| Jan 28 | Nautico… v Retrô F… | 0-1 |
| Jan 25 | Nautico… v Santa C… | 0-4 |
| Jan 22 | Nautico… v Jaguaré | 0-4 |
| Jan 18 | Nautico… v Sport R… | 4-0 |
| Jan 14 | Nautico… v Decisão | 1-2 |
| Jan 09 | Nautico… v Maguary… | 2-0 |
| Oct 11 | Nautico… v Brusque | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 18, 2026 | Nautico Recife | 4-0 | Sport Recife |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Sport Recife | 1-2 | Nautico Recife |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Sport Recife | 0-0 | Nautico Recife |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Nautico Recife | 0-2 | Sport Recife |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Sport Recife | 2-2 | Nautico Recife |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Nautico Recife | 1-0 | Sport Recife |
| Mar 04, 2023 | Nautico Recife | 0-2 | Sport Recife |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Nautico Recife | 2-2 | Sport Recife |
| Sep 29, 2022 | Sport Recife | 2-1 | Nautico Recife |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Nautico Recife | 1-1 | Sport Recife |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
48%
Market
43%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sport Recife in strong form (4W in last 5)
Nautico Recife in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.