SheBelieves Cup · Mar 04, 2026 23:45
USA Women
PWR 76
Canada Women
PWR 34
USA Women
PWR 76
1 - 0
FT
Canada Women
PWR 34
69%
20%
11%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: USA Women to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)0-0 (1%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
83%
Home/Draw
1.27x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.49x
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
46%
Team Comparison
58Attack35
88Defense48
Goals/G
1.71.0
Conc/G
0.31.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
USA Women
WWWWW
UP
Canada Women
WLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
Youth team excluded: Women
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
USA Womenvs
0.20
Canada WomenGoal Probability
USA Women
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Canada Women
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (14%)3-0 (14%)4-0 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
USA Women+1
Gap#2
Canada Women
WR 83% 16 pts
WR 17% 5 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA Women | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
| Canada Women | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
USA Women
20.0%
| Mar 01 | USA Wom… v Argenti… | 2-0 |
| Jan 28 | USA Wom… v Chile W… | 5-0 |
| Jan 24 | USA Wom… v Paragua… | 6-0 |
| Dec 02 | USA Wom… v Italy W… | 2-0 |
| Nov 29 | USA Wom… v Italy W… | 3-0 |
| Oct 30 | USA Wom… v New Zea… | 6-0 |
| Oct 26 | USA Wom… v Portuga… | 3-1 |
| Oct 23 | USA Wom… v Portuga… | 1-2 |
| Jul 02 | USA Wom… v Canada … | 3-0 |
| Jun 29 | USA Wom… v Republi… | 4-0 |
Canada Women
4.0%
| Mar 01 | Canada … v Colombi… | 4-1 |
| Dec 02 | Canada … v Japan W… | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | Canada … v Japan W… | 3-0 |
| Oct 28 | Canada … v Netherl… | 1-0 |
| Oct 24 | Canada … v Switzer… | 1-0 |
| Jul 02 | Canada … v USA Wom… | 3-0 |
| Jun 27 | Canada … v Costa R… | 4-1 |
| Jun 03 | Canada … v Haiti W… | 3-1 |
| May 31 | Canada … v Haiti W… | 4-1 |
| Apr 09 | Canada … v Argenti… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Jul 02, 2025 | USA Women | 3-0 | Canada Women |
| Apr 09, 2024 | USA Women | 2-2 | Canada Women |
| Mar 07, 2024 | Canada Women | 2-2 | USA Women |
| Feb 17, 2023 | USA Women | 2-0 | Canada Women |
| Jul 19, 2022 | USA Women | 1-0 | Canada Women |
| Aug 02, 2021 | USA Women | 0-1 | Canada Women |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
61%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
USA Women in strong form (5W in last 5)
Canada Women struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.