Premier League · Mar 08, 2026 14:00
Neftchi
PWR 35
Alay
PWR 35
Neftchi
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT
Alay
PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Alay Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (27%)1-0 (23%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (5%)
CORRECT 0-2
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.11x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.36x
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5
85%
85%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Neftchi
LLDWL
DOWN
Alay
WWDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)Consider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.3%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Neftchivs
0.45
AlayGoal Probability
Neftchi
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Alay
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (17%)0-2 (15%)1-1 (10%)0-0 (9%)0-3 (9%)1-2 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Neftchi-12
Gap#3
Alay
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 50% 4 pts
Neftchi
6.0%
| Mar 01 | Neftchi v Ozgon | 1-2 |
| Nov 09 | Neftchi v Alay | 4-0 |
| Nov 04 | Neftchi v Alay | 1-1 |
| Oct 27 | Neftchi v Asiagoal | 2-1 |
| Oct 12 | Neftchi v OshMU A… | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Neftchi v Talant | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | Neftchi v Bishkek… | 0-1 |
| Sep 21 | Neftchi v Ozgon | 3-2 |
| Sep 17 | Neftchi v Abdish-… | 0-1 |
| Sep 12 | Neftchi v Kara-Ba… | 1-3 |
Alay
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Alay v OshMU A… | 3-0 |
| Mar 03 | Alay v Talant | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Alay v Ilbirs | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Alay v Neftchi | 4-0 |
| Nov 08 | Alay v Muras U… | 1-0 |
| Nov 05 | Alay v OshMU A… | 2-2 |
| Nov 04 | Alay v Neftchi | 1-1 |
| Oct 30 | Alay v Ozgon | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | Alay v Bars | 3-0 |
| Oct 20 | Alay v OshMU A… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Alay | 4-0 | Neftchi |
| Nov 04, 2025 | Neftchi | 1-1 | Alay |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Alay | 1-2 | Neftchi |
| Mar 04, 2025 | Neftchi | 0-2 | Alay |
| Nov 21, 2024 | Alay | 2-1 | Neftchi |
| Oct 01, 2024 | Neftchi | 2-4 | Alay |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Neftchi | 1-0 | Alay |
| May 26, 2024 | Neftchi | 2-4 | Alay |
| May 15, 2024 | Neftchi | 0-2 | Alay |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Alay | 1-1 | Neftchi |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
30%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Alay in strong form (3W in last 5)
Neftchi struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.