Taça de Portugal · Mar 03, 2026 20:45
Sporting CP
PWR 73
FC Porto
PWR 81
Sporting CP
PWR 73
1 - 0
FT
FC Porto
PWR 81
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sporting CP Win
Score
3-3
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (17%)3-0 (10%)0-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.45x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.82x
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
No
No 32%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
80Attack82
63Defense75
Goals/G
2.32.3
Conc/G
1.10.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sporting CP
LWDDW
STABLE
FC Porto
WWLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Sporting CPvs
0.47
FC PortoGoal Probability
Sporting CP
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
FC Porto
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Sporting CP-2
Gap#1
FC Porto
WR 78% 43 pts
WR 89% 48 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 43 |
| FC Porto | 18 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 42 | 13 | 48 |
Sporting CP
12.0%
| Feb 28 | Sportin… v Sport H… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Sportin… v Estoril | 3-0 |
| Feb 25 | Sportin… v 2 de Ma… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Sportin… v Univers… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Sportin… v Moreire… | 0-3 |
| Feb 18 | Sportin… v 2 de Ma… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Sportin… v Famalic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Sportin… v Juan Pa… | 0-2 |
| Feb 09 | Sportin… v FC Porto | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Sportin… v FBC Mel… | 1-2 |
FC Porto
14.0%
| Feb 27 | FC Porto v Arouca | 3-1 |
| Feb 22 | FC Porto v Rio Ave… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | FC Porto v Spartak… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | FC Porto v Nacional | 0-1 |
| Feb 09 | FC Porto v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | FC Porto v Artsakh | 3-0 |
| Feb 02 | FC Porto v Casa Pi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | FC Porto v Rodina … | 0-1 |
| Jan 29 | FC Porto v Rangers… | 3-1 |
| Jan 26 | FC Porto v GIL Vic… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 09, 2026 | FC Porto | 1-1 | Sporting CP |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Sporting CP | 1-2 | FC Porto |
| Feb 07, 2025 | FC Porto | 1-1 | Sporting CP |
| Jan 07, 2025 | Sporting CP | 1-0 | FC Porto |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Sporting CP | 2-0 | FC Porto |
| Aug 03, 2024 | Sporting CP | 3-4 | FC Porto |
| May 26, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-1 | Sporting CP |
| Apr 28, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-2 | Sporting CP |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Sporting CP | 2-0 | FC Porto |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Sporting CP | 1-2 | FC Porto |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
50%
Market
47%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Porto in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.