Back Stats
EFL Trophy · Mar 04, 2026 19:30

Bolton
PWR 39
2 - 1
FT

Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
63% 21% 16%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Northampton Town FC to win (89% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
89%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (16%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X 83%
Home/Draw
1.27x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.61x
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5 56%
56%
Team Comparison
38Attack27
73Defense61
Goals/G
1.30.9
Conc/G
0.91.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Bolton DDWWW
STABLE
Northampton To… DLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): EFL Trophy
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Bolton
vs
0.54
Northampton To…
Goal Probability
Bolton
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Northampton…
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)4-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 98% 2% OVER
1.5 90% 10% OVER
2.5 75% 25% OVER
3.5 56% 45% -
4.5 36% 64% -
5.5 21% 79% UNDER
6.5 11% 90% UNDER
League Position
#1
Bolton
0
Gap
#1
Northampton…
WR 100% 9 pts WR 100% 9 pts
Bolton 16.0%
Mar 03 Bolton v Woking 2-2
Feb 28 Bolton v Port Va… 1-1
Feb 28 Bolton v Exeter … 1-5
Feb 24 Bolton v Forest … 2-3
Feb 24 Bolton v Plymouth 2-1
Feb 21 Bolton v Blackpo… 2-2
Feb 21 Bolton v Tamworth 0-0
Feb 21 Bolton v Brighto… 1-1
Feb 18 Bolton v Wigan 1-0
Feb 17 Bolton v Reading… 1-1
Northampton To… 4.0%
Feb 28 Northam… v Peterbo… 1-1
Feb 24 Northam… v Port Va… 0-1
Feb 21 Northam… v Leyton … 1-2
Feb 17 Northam… v Lincoln 4-0
Feb 14 Northam… v Exeter … 0-0
Feb 10 Northam… v AFC Wim… 1-2
Feb 07 Northam… v Stevena… 3-1
Feb 03 Northam… v Burnley 2-2
Jan 31 Northam… v Reading… 0-2
Jan 27 Northam… v Rotherh… 2-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Jan 04, 2026 Bolton 0-0 Northampton T…
Oct 25, 2025 Northampton T… 0-1 Bolton
Sep 27, 2025 Northampton T… 2-0 Bolton
Jan 28, 2025 Bolton 3-1 Northampton T…
Jan 04, 2025 Bolton 0-1 Northampton T…
Oct 01, 2024 Northampton T… 2-4 Bolton
Oct 01, 2024 Northampton T… 2-4 Bolton
Aug 31, 2024 Northampton T… 0-0 Bolton
Feb 24, 2024 Bolton 0-2 Northampton T…
Feb 10, 2024 Northampton T… 1-1 Bolton
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
50%
Market
63%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Bolton in strong form (3W in last 5)
Northampton Town FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.