Coppa Italia · Mar 04, 2026 20:00
Atalanta
PWR 40
Lazio
PWR 36
Atalanta
PWR 40
2 - 2
FT
Lazio
PWR 36
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (17%)2-0 (16%)1-0 (10%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (4%)0-0 (3%)
WRONG 2-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No
No 20%
Over 3.5
49%
Team Comparison
39Attack31
74Defense73
Goals/G
1.31.0
Conc/G
0.90.9
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Atalanta
LWWLW
STABLE
Lazio
LDLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Coppa Italia
Expected Goals (xG)
3.23
Atalantavs
0.24
LazioGoal Probability
Atalanta
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Lazio
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)2-2 (6%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 49% | 52% | - |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Atalanta-1
Gap#3
Lazio
WR 57% 25 pts
WR 57% 26 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 25 |
| Lazio | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 26 |
Atalanta
12.0%
| Mar 01 | Atalanta v Sassuolo | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Atalanta v Borussiā¦ | 4-1 |
| Feb 22 | Atalanta v Napoli | 2-1 |
| Feb 17 | Atalanta v Borussiā¦ | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Atalanta v Lazio | 0-2 |
| Feb 09 | Atalanta v Cremoneā¦ | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Atalanta v Juventus | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Atalanta v Como | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Atalanta v Union Sā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Atalanta v Parma | 4-0 |
Lazio
6.0%
| Mar 01 | Lazio v Torino | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Lazio v Cagliari | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Lazio v Atalanta | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Lazio v Bologna | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Lazio v Juventus | 2-2 |
| Jan 30 | Lazio v Genoa | 3-2 |
| Jan 24 | Lazio v Lecce | 0-0 |
| Jan 19 | Lazio v Como | 0-3 |
| Jan 11 | Lazio v Verona | 0-1 |
| Jan 07 | Lazio v Fiorentā¦ | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lazio | 0-2 | Atalanta |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Atalanta | 0-0 | Lazio |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Atalanta | 0-1 | Lazio |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Lazio | 1-1 | Atalanta |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Lazio | 1-1 | Atalanta |
| Feb 04, 2024 | Atalanta | 3-1 | Lazio |
| Feb 04, 2024 | Atalanta | 3-1 | Lazio |
| Oct 08, 2023 | Lazio | 3-2 | Atalanta |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Lazio | 0-2 | Atalanta |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Atalanta | 0-2 | Lazio |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
30%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Atalanta in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.