Copa del Rey · Mar 04, 2026 20:00
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
Athletic Club
PWR 30
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Athletic Club
PWR 30
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Real Sociedad to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-2 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)1-1 (5%)2-3 (5%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.47x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.84x
Over 2.5
78%
78%
Under 2.5
22%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 81%
Over 3.5
53%
Team Comparison
41Attack29
59Defense58
Goals/G
1.41.0
Conc/G
1.41.4
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Real Sociedad
LWWDW
STABLE
Athletic Club
DWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Copa del Rey
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Real Sociedadvs
2.22
Athletic ClubGoal Probability
Real Socied…
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Athletic Cl…
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Real Socied…+1
Gap#2
Athletic Cl…
WR 68% 43 pts
WR 60% 39 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 43 |
| Athletic Club | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 39 |
Real Sociedad
14.0%
| Mar 01 | Real So… v Deporti… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Real So… v Mallorca | 0-1 |
| Feb 23 | Real So… v Cadiz | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Real So… v Oviedo | 3-3 |
| Feb 16 | Real So… v Malaga | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Real So… v Real Ma… | 4-1 |
| Feb 11 | Real So… v Athleti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Real So… v FC Ando… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Real So… v Elche | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Real So… v Alavés | 2-3 |
Athletic Club
14.0%
| Feb 28 | Athleti… v Rayo Va… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Athleti… v Elche | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Athleti… v Oviedo | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Athleti… v Real So… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Athleti… v Levante | 4-2 |
| Feb 04 | Athleti… v Valencia | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Athleti… v Real So… | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Athleti… v Sportin… | 2-3 |
| Jan 24 | Athleti… v Sevilla | 2-1 |
| Jan 21 | Athleti… v Atalanta | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 11, 2026 | Athletic Club | 0-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Feb 01, 2026 | Athletic Club | 1-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Nov 01, 2025 | Real Sociedad | 3-2 | Athletic Club |
| May 04, 2025 | Real Sociedad | 0-0 | Athletic Club |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Athletic Club | 1-0 | Real Sociedad |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Athletic Club | 2-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Real Sociedad | 3-0 | Athletic Club |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Athletic Club | 2-0 | Real Sociedad |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Real Sociedad | 3-1 | Athletic Club |
| Aug 05, 2022 | Athletic Club | 1-0 | Real Sociedad |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
48%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Real Sociedad in strong form (3W in last 5)
Athletic Club in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.