Copa del Rey · Mar 03, 2026 20:00
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
FC Barcelona
PWR 68
PWR 68
3 - 0
FT
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (15%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (6%)
WRONG 3-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
82%
Home/Draw
1.28x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.92x
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS
No 38%
Over 3.5
66%
66%
Team Comparison
86Attack52
49Defense77
Goals/G
2.51.7
Conc/G
1.50.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Barcelona
WWLLW
STABLE
Atlético Madrid
WWWDL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Copa del Rey
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
FC Barcelonavs
0.56
Atlético MadridGoal Probability
FC Barcelona
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Atlético Ma…
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)1-1 (5%)4-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 18% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 5.5 | 30% | 71% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
FC Barcelona-1
Gap#3
Atlético Ma…
WR 69% 28 pts
WR 60% 28 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 19 | 28 |
| Atlético Madr… | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 16 | 28 |
FC Barcelona
12.0%
| Feb 28 | FC Barc… v Villarr… | 4-1 |
| Feb 22 | FC Barc… v Levante | 3-0 |
| Feb 16 | FC Barc… v Girona | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | FC Barc… v Atlétic… | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | FC Barc… v Mallorca | 3-0 |
| Feb 03 | FC Barc… v Albacete | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | FC Barc… v Guayaqu… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | FC Barc… v Elche | 1-3 |
| Jan 28 | FC Barc… v FC Cope… | 4-1 |
| Jan 25 | FC Barc… v Oviedo | 3-0 |
Atlético Madrid
14.0%
| Feb 28 | Atlétic… v Oviedo | 0-1 |
| Feb 24 | Atlétic… v Club Br… | 4-1 |
| Feb 21 | Atlétic… v Espanyol | 4-2 |
| Feb 18 | Atlétic… v Club Br… | 3-3 |
| Feb 15 | Atlétic… v Rayo Va… | 3-0 |
| Feb 12 | Atlétic… v FC Barc… | 4-0 |
| Feb 08 | Atlétic… v Real Be… | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Atlétic… v Real Be… | 0-5 |
| Jan 31 | Atlétic… v Levante | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Atlétic… v Bodø/Gl… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 12, 2026 | Atlético Madr… | 4-0 | FC Barcelona |
| Dec 02, 2025 | FC Barcelona | 3-1 | Atlético Madr… |
| Apr 02, 2025 | Atlético Madr… | 0-1 | FC Barcelona |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Atlético Madr… | 2-4 | FC Barcelona |
| Feb 25, 2025 | FC Barcelona | 4-4 | Atlético Madr… |
| Dec 21, 2024 | FC Barcelona | 1-2 | Atlético Madr… |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Atlético Madr… | 0-3 | FC Barcelona |
| Dec 03, 2023 | FC Barcelona | 1-0 | Atlético Madr… |
| Apr 23, 2023 | FC Barcelona | 1-0 | Atlético Madr… |
| Jan 08, 2023 | Atlético Madr… | 0-1 | FC Barcelona |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
50%
Market
66%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Barcelona in strong form (3W in last 5)
Atlético Madrid in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.